Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Union Saint-Gilloise v Anderlecht

Início: 2026-08-30 16:32 UTC

Final: Union Saint-Gilloise 3–0 Anderlecht

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Union Saint-Gilloise (Local)

Previsão 52.85%1.89odd justa
EV -3.28%
Vantagem -1.79%
Kelly -3.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.22%52.83%52.88%53.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.751.751.8359.88%57.23%57.14%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Anderlecht (Visitante)

Previsão 21.48%4.66odd justa
EV +0.949%
Vantagem +0.202%
Kelly +0.256%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.64%21.55%21.44%22.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.954.304.344.7025.32%23.26%23.04%21.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.67%3.90odd justa
EV -1.18%
Vantagem -0.306%
Kelly -0.413%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.77%25.62%25.68%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.353.613.603.8529.85%27.73%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Union Saint-Gilloise (Local): 52.85%; Anderlecht (Visitante): 21.48%; Empate: 25.67%. Para Anderlecht (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.66. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.949%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.29%EV -3.81%E -2.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%EV +0.949%E +0.202%K +0.256%G +0.002%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.07%EV -4.51%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.94%EV -5.39%E -3.01%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -1.20%E -0.261%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -1.18%E -0.306%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.94%EV -5.39%E -3.01%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -1.20%E -0.261%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -1.18%E -0.306%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.16%EV -1.84%E -0.403%K -0.516%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.00%EV -4.51%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -3.35%E -0.744%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.74%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 15:45
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.75%EV -6.98%E -3.96%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -3.35%E -0.744%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -3.74%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 16:20
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.35%E -0.744%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.74%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.35%E -0.744%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.36%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -4.42%E -0.993%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -6.57%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:15
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -2.46%E -0.648%K -0.879%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.74%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.74%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.92%E -3.33%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.92%E -3.33%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 16:05
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.92%E -3.33%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 16:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:19
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:19
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.03%E -4.62%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:20
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.03%E -4.62%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.03%E -4.62%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:20
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.03%E -4.62%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.57%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 16:05
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.34%EV -5.92%E -3.33%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -6.57%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.88%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 16:24
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.34%EV -5.92%E -3.33%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -6.57%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.88%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 16:24
Suprabets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.19%EV -5.39%E -3.01%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -7.00%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.24%EV -8.62%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:05
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.37%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -7.64%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.74%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -8.72%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.74%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 16:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -8.03%E -4.62%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.72%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -3.74%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:10
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -9.09%E -5.29%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -8.72%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -8.88%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 16:00
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.56%E -4.95%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 16:15
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 16:15
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -8.56%E -4.95%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.77%EV -9.39%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 16:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.94%EV -9.62%E -5.63%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -8.88%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.94%EV -9.62%E -5.63%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -8.88%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 16:00
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.94%EV -9.62%E -5.63%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -8.88%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 16:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.56%E -4.95%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 16:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.55%EV -9.62%E -5.63%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.19%EV -11.21%E -6.67%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 16:20
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -11.94%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.23%EV -10.15%E -5.97%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.66%EV -11.94%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.07%EV -11.73%E -7.03%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -11.94%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.07%EV -11.73%E -7.03%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -11.94%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.38%EV -10.68%E -6.32%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -11.94%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.03%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 16:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.13%EV -8.03%E -4.62%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 16:04
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 16:09
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.56%E -4.95%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 51.89%EV -10.68%E -6.32%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.93%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.18%EV -14.01%E -4.18%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-30 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.08%EV -9.09%E -5.29%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -15.16%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -8.88%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-08-30 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-08-30 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-08-30 16:25
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-08-30 16:15
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.04%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.96%1.4%2026-08-30 16:25
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-08-30 16:25