Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Union Saint-Gilloise v Anderlecht

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 16:32 UTC

Score final : Union Saint-Gilloise 3–0 Anderlecht

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Union Saint-Gilloise (Local)

Prévision 52.85%1.89cote équitable
EV -3.28%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -3.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.22%52.83%52.88%53.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.751.751.8359.88%57.23%57.14%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Anderlecht (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.48%4.66cote équitable
EV +0.949%
Avantage +0.202%
Kelly +0.256%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.64%21.55%21.44%22.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.954.304.344.7025.32%23.26%23.04%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.67%3.90cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.306%
Kelly -0.413%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.77%25.62%25.68%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.613.603.8529.85%27.73%27.78%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Union Saint-Gilloise (Local) : 52.85% ; Anderlecht (Visiteur) : 21.48% ; Match nul : 25.67%. Pour Anderlecht (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.66. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.70, soit une espérance positive de +0.949%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.29%EV -3.81%E -2.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%EV +0.949%E +0.202%K +0.256%G +0.002%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.07%EV -4.51%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.94%EV -5.39%E -3.01%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -1.20%E -0.261%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -1.18%E -0.306%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.94%EV -5.39%E -3.01%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -1.20%E -0.261%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -1.18%E -0.306%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.16%EV -1.84%E -0.403%K -0.516%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.00%EV -4.51%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -3.35%E -0.744%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.74%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 15:45
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.75%EV -6.98%E -3.96%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -3.35%E -0.744%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -3.74%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 16:20
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.35%E -0.744%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.74%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.35%E -0.744%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.36%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -4.42%E -0.993%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -6.57%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:15
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -2.46%E -0.648%K -0.879%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.74%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.74%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.92%E -3.33%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.92%E -3.33%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 16:05
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.92%E -3.33%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 16:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:19
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:19
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.03%E -4.62%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:20
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.03%E -4.62%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.03%E -4.62%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:20
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.03%E -4.62%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.57%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 16:05
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.34%EV -5.92%E -3.33%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -6.57%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.88%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 16:24
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.34%EV -5.92%E -3.33%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -6.57%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.88%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 16:24
Suprabets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.19%EV -5.39%E -3.01%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -7.00%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.24%EV -8.62%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:05
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.37%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -7.64%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.74%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -8.72%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.74%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 16:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -8.03%E -4.62%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.72%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -3.74%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:10
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -9.09%E -5.29%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -8.72%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -8.88%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 16:00
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.56%E -4.95%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 16:15
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 16:15
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -8.56%E -4.95%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.77%EV -9.39%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 16:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.94%EV -9.62%E -5.63%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -8.88%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.94%EV -9.62%E -5.63%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -8.88%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 16:00
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.94%EV -9.62%E -5.63%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -8.88%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 16:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.56%E -4.95%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 16:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.55%EV -9.62%E -5.63%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.19%EV -11.21%E -6.67%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.79%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 16:20
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -11.94%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.23%EV -10.15%E -5.97%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.66%EV -11.94%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.07%EV -11.73%E -7.03%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -11.94%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.07%EV -11.73%E -7.03%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -11.94%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.38%EV -10.68%E -6.32%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -11.94%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.03%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 16:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.13%EV -8.03%E -4.62%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 16:04
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 16:09
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.56%E -4.95%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 51.89%EV -10.68%E -6.32%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.93%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.18%EV -14.01%E -4.18%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-30 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.08%EV -9.09%E -5.29%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -15.16%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -8.88%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-08-30 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-08-30 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-08-30 16:25
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-08-30 16:15
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.04%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.96%1.4%2026-08-30 16:25
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-08-30 16:25