Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.97
assuming max odds 4.55
assuming max odds 3.63
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SV Zulte-Waregem (Local): 50.90%; Standard Liege (Visit): 22.34%; Draw: 26.76%. For Standard Liege (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.48. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.65%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -6.35%E -3.45%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%EV +1.65%E +0.363%K +0.465%G +0.008% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -6.35%E -3.45%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%EV +1.65%E +0.363%K +0.465%G +0.008% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 17:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.32%EV -4.31%E -2.29%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.88%EV -1.48%E -0.335%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.80%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.50%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 17:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.50%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.50%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 17:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.50%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 17:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -6.86%E -3.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -2.82%E -0.647%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 17:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -6.86%E -3.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -2.82%E -0.647%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 17:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -6.86%E -3.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -2.82%E -0.647%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 17:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.86%E -3.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -3.26%E -0.754%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 17:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -4.82%E -2.58%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -7.37%E -4.05%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 17:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -6.86%E -3.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 17:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -7.88%E -4.35%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.87%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -7.88%E -4.35%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -7.88%E -4.35%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -7.88%E -4.35%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 17:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.34%EV -8.89%E -4.97%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 17:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -4.82%E -2.58%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 17:07 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -4.82%E -2.58%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 17:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 17:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -6.86%E -3.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 17:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -6.86%E -3.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 17:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -8.38%E -4.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 17:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -10.93%E -6.25%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-08 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -10.93%E -6.25%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-08 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.93%E -6.25%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-08 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -4.31%E -2.29%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 17:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -4.31%E -2.29%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -4.82%E -2.58%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 17:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -4.82%E -2.58%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 17:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -4.82%E -2.58%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 17:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 17:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV +0.268%E +0.136%K +0.276%G +0.001% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.97%EV -9.52%E -2.35%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.75%EV -2.86%E -0.787%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 17:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 17:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -10.93%E -6.25%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-08 17:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -10.93%E -6.25%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.03%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-08 17:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.33%EV -13.47%E -7.93%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -13.03%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-08 17:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -10.42%E -5.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.70%EV -12.20%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 17:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.38%E -4.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 17:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.96%EV -12.46%E -7.24%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-08 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -6.86%E -3.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -13.99%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 17:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.67%EV -11.95%E -6.91%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -13.99%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-08 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.13%EV -10.42%E -5.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -16.22%E -4.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-08 17:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 49.38%EV -15.00%E -8.98%K -22.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 21.99%EV -16.22%E -4.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.63%EV -22.93%E -7.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 21.3% | 2026-03-08 17:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.78% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.78% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34% | 1.2% | 2026-03-08 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.09% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.94% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97% | 1.6% | 2026-03-08 17:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.81% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.02% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 17:15 |