La escuela de los momios

SV Zulte-Waregem v Standard Liege

Inicio: 2026-03-08 17:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SV Zulte-Waregem (Local)

Predicción 50.90%1.96momio equitativo
EV +0.268%
Ventaja +0.136%
Kelly +0.276%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.28%50.89%50.87%52.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.821.831.9759.88%54.87%54.64%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Standard Liege (Visitante)

Predicción 22.34%4.48momio equitativo
EV +1.65%
Ventaja +0.363%
Kelly +0.465%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.11%22.33%22.35%23.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.174.204.5526.67%23.97%23.81%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.76%3.74momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -0.787%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.93%26.78%26.78%28.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.443.503.6334.72%29.05%28.57%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -6.35%E -3.45%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%EV +1.65%E +0.363%K +0.465%G +0.008%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -6.35%E -3.45%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%EV +1.65%E +0.363%K +0.465%G +0.008%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 17:19
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.32%EV -4.31%E -2.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.88%EV -1.48%E -0.335%K -0.433%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.80%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.50%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 17:24
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.50%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 17:25
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.50%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 17:24
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.50%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 17:24
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -6.86%E -3.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -2.82%E -0.647%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 17:24
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -6.86%E -3.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -2.82%E -0.647%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 17:24
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -6.86%E -3.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -2.82%E -0.647%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 17:24
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.86%E -3.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -3.26%E -0.754%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 17:14
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -4.82%E -2.58%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 17:10
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -7.37%E -4.05%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 17:10
Suprabets1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -6.86%E -3.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 17:14
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -7.88%E -4.35%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.87%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 17:10
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -7.88%E -4.35%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 17:09
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -7.88%E -4.35%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 17:10
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -7.88%E -4.35%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 17:10
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.34%EV -8.89%E -4.97%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 17:24
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -4.82%E -2.58%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 17:07
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -4.82%E -2.58%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 17:10
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 17:09
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 17:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 17:10
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -6.86%E -3.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 17:23
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -6.86%E -3.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 17:09
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -8.38%E -4.66%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 17:04
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -10.93%E -6.25%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-08 17:24
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -10.93%E -6.25%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-08 17:24
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.93%E -6.25%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 17:05
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -4.31%E -2.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 17:04
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -4.31%E -2.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 17:05
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -4.82%E -2.58%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 17:24
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -4.82%E -2.58%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 17:24
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -4.82%E -2.58%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 17:24
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 17:09
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV +0.268%E +0.136%K +0.276%G +0.001%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.97%EV -9.52%E -2.35%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.75%EV -2.86%E -0.787%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 17:19
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 17:24
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 17:24
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 17:25
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.84%E -3.16%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 17:25
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -10.93%E -6.25%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-08 17:04
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -10.93%E -6.25%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.03%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-08 17:04
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.33%EV -13.47%E -7.93%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -13.03%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-08 17:05
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -10.42%E -5.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.70%EV -12.20%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 17:19
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.38%E -4.66%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 17:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.96%EV -12.46%E -7.24%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-08 17:15
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -6.86%E -3.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -13.99%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 17:05
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.67%EV -11.95%E -6.91%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -13.99%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-08 17:20
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.13%EV -10.42%E -5.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -16.22%E -4.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 17:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.38%EV -15.00%E -8.98%K -22.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.99%EV -16.22%E -4.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.63%EV -22.93%E -7.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%21.3%2026-03-08 17:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-03-08 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.78%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-08 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.78%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-08 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-03-08 17:25
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 52.09%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97%1.6%2026-03-08 17:25
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 53.81%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.02%3.8%2026-03-08 17:15