The School of Odds

SV Zulte-Waregem v Genk

2026-08-09 14:00 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

SV Zulte-Waregem (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -28.90%
Kelly -40.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.59%0.00%0.00%28.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.053.193.103.4633%31%32%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Genk (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -46.51%
Kelly -86.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.34%0.00%0.00%45.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.922.022.002.1552%50%50%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -27.78%
Kelly -38.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.28%0.00%0.00%28.01%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.333.353.6032%30%30%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet3.46I 28.90%NM 27.59%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.00%4.7%2026-07-14 18:18
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%5.7%2026-07-14 18:18
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%9.9%2026-07-14 19:04
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%11.7%2026-07-14 18:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%11.7%2026-07-14 18:19
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%1.92I 52.08%NM 44.94%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.22%15.9%2026-07-14 18:28
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%1.92I 52.08%NM 44.87%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.35%16.1%2026-07-14 18:54
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%13.3%2026-07-14 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 28.58%1.96I 51.02%NM 43.75%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.66%16.6%2026-07-14 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-14 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-14 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-14 18:20