Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Zulte-Waregem v Genk

2026-08-09 14:00 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Zulte-Waregem (Local)

Prediction 30.19%3.31fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.16%30.15%30.11%31.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.043.053.2035.71%32.89%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Genk (Visit)

Prediction 43.38%2.31fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.96%43.35%43.33%44.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.152.2350.00%47.09%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.44%3.78fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -0.665%
Kelly -0.912%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%26.50%26.56%27.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.463.503.6930.77%28.89%28.57%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: SV Zulte-Waregem (Local): 30.19%; Genk (Visit): 43.38%; Draw: 26.44%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.69, with an expected value of -2.45%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.33%EV -3.27%E -1.47%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.51%E -0.962%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-04 05:05
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.33%EV -3.27%E -1.47%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.51%E -0.962%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-04 05:05
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.74%E -3.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:05
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.74%E -3.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 22:49
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.05%EV -4.30%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.11%EV -4.14%E -1.87%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 22:55
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.32%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.80%EV -5.44%E -2.50%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.88%EV -2.45%E -0.665%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 04:39
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.44%E -2.50%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 05:05
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.57%E -2.08%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 04:45
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.57%E -2.08%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 15:45
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.57%E -2.08%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 15:45
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.74%E -3.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 13:25
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.74%E -3.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 04:44
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.74%E -3.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 13:18
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.74%E -3.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.74%E -3.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 13:20
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.74%E -3.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 13:19
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -6.31%E -2.92%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 05:04
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -6.31%E -2.92%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 05:05
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -6.31%E -2.92%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 05:04
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -6.31%E -2.92%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 05:05
betano_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.91%E -4.24%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-03 00:54
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.91%E -4.24%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-03 00:53
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.29%EV -7.02%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -7.61%E -3.57%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 04:39
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -5.44%E -2.50%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 00:19
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -5.44%E -2.50%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 00:24
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -6.74%E -3.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 05:19
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.91%E -4.24%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 13:19
Suprabets3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.43%EV -6.31%E -2.92%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.52%EV -11.97%E -3.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-31 08:29
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.56%EV -13.25%E -6.62%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-03 14:05
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 29.63%EV -8.83%E -2.92%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.65%EV -11.08%E -5.41%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -11.44%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-03 00:55
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.74%E -3.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 14:19
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.91%E -4.24%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 04:44
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.91%E -4.24%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-31 08:14
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -8.04%E -3.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-04 05:05
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.74%E -3.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 00:55
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.74%E -3.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 00:54
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.74%E -3.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 00:54
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.74%E -3.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 00:54
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.91%E -4.24%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-04 05:04
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.91%E -4.24%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-04 05:04
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.08%E -5.41%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-31 08:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.08%E -5.41%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-31 08:15
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.08%E -5.41%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-31 08:05
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -10.94%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -11.08%E -5.41%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-03 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -10.94%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.99%EV -9.78%E -4.70%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -11.44%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-04 05:04
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -6.74%E -3.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -11.44%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-04 15:45
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.53%EV -11.95%E -5.89%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.99%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-31 08:14
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.83%EV -10.65%E -5.17%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-04 05:04
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.83%EV -10.65%E -5.17%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-04 05:04
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.83%EV -10.65%E -5.17%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-04 05:04
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -13.25%E -6.62%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -11.44%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-03 20:14
NetBet (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 30.51%EV -13.36%E -4.65%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.35%EV -12.38%E -6.13%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -11.44%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-04 15:09
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -15.47%E -5.53%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -13.25%E -6.62%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-31 08:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%2.27I 44.05%NM 44.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%0.1%2026-08-04 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.19%4.6%2026-08-04 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.19%4.6%2026-08-04 10:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.19%4.6%2026-08-04 10:50
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%6.3%2026-08-04 11:10