Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SV Zulte-Waregem v Genk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 14:00 UTC

Score final : SV Zulte-Waregem 2–1 Genk

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SV Zulte-Waregem (Local)

Prévision 29.21%3.42cote équitable
EV +6.92%
Avantage +1.89%
Kelly +2.60%
Croissance +0.180%

avec la cote maximale 3.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.49%29.22%29.33%30.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.153.153.6634.48%31.73%31.75%27.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Genk (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.79%2.23cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -2.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.22%44.82%44.70%48.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.982.072.052.1850.51%48.24%48.78%45.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.00%3.85cote équitable
EV +2.70%
Avantage +0.683%
Kelly +0.914%
Croissance +0.025%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.54%25.96%25.96%26.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.553.603.9530.30%28.16%27.78%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SV Zulte-Waregem (Local) : 29.21% ; Genk (Visiteur) : 44.79% ; Match nul : 26.00%. Pour SV Zulte-Waregem (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.42. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.66, soit une espérance positive de +6.92%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.49%EV +6.92%E +1.89%K +2.60%G +0.180%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -11.32%E -5.72%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%EV +2.70%E +0.683%K +0.914%G +0.025%3.1%2026-08-09 13:54
Pinnacle🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.98%EV +0.491%E +0.143%K +0.201%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.28%EV -6.84%E -3.29%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.74%EV -2.76%E -0.739%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 13:55
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -0.678%E -0.199%K -0.282%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 13:55
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -0.678%E -0.199%K -0.282%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -0.678%E -0.199%K -0.282%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -2.14%E -0.638%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.60%EV -7.29%E -3.52%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.14%E -0.638%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:45
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.15%EV -9.53%E -4.72%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 13:54
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.09%EV -2.36%E -1.08%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.09%EV -2.36%E -1.08%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.09%EV -2.36%E -1.08%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -7.29%E -3.52%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -6.84%E -3.29%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:55
betano_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 13:54
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 13:34
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 13:55
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 13:55
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 13:55
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:55
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -7.74%E -3.76%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 13:55
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -9.53%E -4.72%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 13:55
Suprabets🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.54%EV -7.69%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.02%EV -5.05%E -2.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.44%EV -8.22%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -5.05%E -2.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 13:55
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -5.05%E -2.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 13:54
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -5.05%E -2.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 13:55
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -5.05%E -2.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 13:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.89%EV -9.08%E -4.47%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.18%EV -9.52%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.44%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:09
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.44%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 07:24
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.44%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 07:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.44%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 13:55
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.44%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.44%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 13:55
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.44%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -7.74%E -3.76%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 13:39
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.90%E -3.57%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.42%E -5.21%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 13:54
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -10.90%E -3.57%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -7.29%E -3.52%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -10.90%E -3.57%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -7.29%E -3.52%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -10.90%E -3.57%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 13:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 07:24
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 07:25
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 13:54
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-31 08:05
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.09%EV -11.32%E -5.72%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 13:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.47%EV -10.87%E -5.46%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.03%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-09 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -13.82%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.71%EV -9.53%E -4.72%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -13.82%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.71%EV -9.53%E -4.72%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -13.82%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.71%EV -9.53%E -4.72%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -15.28%E -5.27%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 13:45
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -15.28%E -5.27%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 13:30
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.17%EV -15.28%E -5.27%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.31%EV -9.53%E -4.72%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.51%EV -14.20%E -4.30%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-09 13:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-08-09 13:55
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 28.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%2.1%2026-08-09 13:55