Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.79
assuming max odds 4.90
assuming max odds 4.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SV Zulte-Waregem (Local): 54.38%; Dender (Visit): 22.26%; Draw: 23.36%. For Dender (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.49. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.09%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -12.45%E -7.73%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV +9.09%E +1.86%K +2.33%G +0.212% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:46 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +4.64%E +0.988%K +1.25%G +0.058% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%EV -1.91%E -0.454%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +4.64%E +0.988%K +1.25%G +0.058% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%EV -1.91%E -0.454%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -8.64%E -5.14%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV +2.42%E +0.525%K +0.671%G +0.016% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -8.64%E -5.14%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV +2.42%E +0.525%K +0.671%G +0.016% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV +0.189%E +0.042%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV +0.189%E +0.042%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV +0.189%E +0.042%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -10.27%E -6.23%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV +0.189%E +0.042%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -10.27%E -6.23%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV +0.189%E +0.042%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -10.27%E -6.23%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV +0.189%E +0.042%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -2.66%E -1.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.81%EV -1.15%E -0.258%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.09%EV -6.11%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%EV -2.04%E -0.463%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.34%EV -3.54%E -0.858%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.04%E -0.463%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.91%E -0.454%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.80%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -2.04%E -0.463%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.90%EV -8.45%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 13:33 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.09%EV -10.82%E -6.60%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -2.04%E -0.463%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -11.90%E -7.35%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -2.04%E -0.463%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -7.75%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.24%EV -12.99%E -8.12%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -3.15%E -0.724%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.24%EV -12.99%E -8.12%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -3.15%E -0.724%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.76%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -3.60%E -0.830%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -3.60%E -0.830%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.26%E -0.992%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.38%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.38%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.71%EV -7.98%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -10.82%E -6.60%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -11.90%E -7.35%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -12.42%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -11.90%E -7.35%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -15.92%E -4.42%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 13:52 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -9.73%E -5.86%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.16%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.12%EV -8.21%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 13:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.35%EV -12.45%E -7.73%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.31%EV -15.92%E -4.42%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.64%E -5.14%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.28%EV -11.36%E -6.97%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -12.42%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.48%EV -10.82%E -6.60%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -13.17%E -3.38%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.62%EV -7.75%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -14.28%E -3.71%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.42%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 52.58%EV -14.62%E -9.31%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.01%EV -16.51%E -4.40%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.40%EV -24.10%E -7.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.94% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.04% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 23.02% | -0.1% | 2026-05-09 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.88% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.88% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |