L’École des cotes

SV Zulte-Waregem v Dender

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 14:00 UTC

Score final : SV Zulte-Waregem 2–1 Dender

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SV Zulte-Waregem (Local)

Prévision 54.38%1.84cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -3.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.48%54.55%54.44%58.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.691.701.7963.69%59.19%58.82%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dender (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.26%4.49cote équitable
EV +9.09%
Avantage +1.86%
Kelly +2.33%
Croissance +0.212%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.09%22.13%22.19%23.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.254.204.9026.67%23.52%23.81%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.36%4.28cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -0.454%
Kelly -0.596%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.37%23.31%23.37%25.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.964.004.2030.77%25.26%25.00%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -12.45%E -7.73%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV +9.09%E +1.86%K +2.33%G +0.212%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:46
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +4.64%E +0.988%K +1.25%G +0.058%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%EV -1.91%E -0.454%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 13:54
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +4.64%E +0.988%K +1.25%G +0.058%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%EV -1.91%E -0.454%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 13:55
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -8.64%E -5.14%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV +2.42%E +0.525%K +0.671%G +0.016%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 13:54
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -8.64%E -5.14%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV +2.42%E +0.525%K +0.671%G +0.016%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 13:54
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV +0.189%E +0.042%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:54
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV +0.189%E +0.042%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:55
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV +0.189%E +0.042%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:55
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -10.27%E -6.23%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV +0.189%E +0.042%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:55
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -10.27%E -6.23%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV +0.189%E +0.042%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:55
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -10.27%E -6.23%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV +0.189%E +0.042%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:54
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -2.66%E -1.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.81%EV -1.15%E -0.258%K -0.333%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.09%EV -6.11%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 13:49
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%EV -2.04%E -0.463%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.34%EV -3.54%E -0.858%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 13:54
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.04%E -0.463%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.91%E -0.454%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 13:34
Suprabets1.71I 58.48%NM 54.80%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -2.04%E -0.463%K -0.599%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.90%EV -8.45%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:33
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.09%EV -10.82%E -6.60%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -2.04%E -0.463%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 13:55
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -11.90%E -7.35%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -2.04%E -0.463%K -0.599%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -7.75%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 13:54
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.24%EV -12.99%E -8.12%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -3.15%E -0.724%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 13:54
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.24%EV -12.99%E -8.12%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -3.15%E -0.724%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 13:54
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.76%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -3.60%E -0.830%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -3.60%E -0.830%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:35
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.26%E -0.992%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:35
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.38%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 13:34
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.38%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.71%EV -7.98%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:50
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:44
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:35
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:49
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:53
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:49
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:49
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 13:54
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -10.82%E -6.60%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 13:34
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -11.90%E -7.35%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -12.42%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 13:49
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -11.90%E -7.35%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -15.92%E -4.42%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-09 13:34
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:50
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:49
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:49
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:52
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -9.73%E -5.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.16%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.12%EV -8.21%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 13:43
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 54.35%EV -12.45%E -7.73%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.31%EV -15.92%E -4.42%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-09 13:49
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:50
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:49
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 13:54
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 13:54
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 13:54
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 13:54
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.64%E -5.14%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 13:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 13:34
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.28%EV -11.36%E -6.97%K -18.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -12.42%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-09 13:54
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.48%EV -10.82%E -6.60%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -13.17%E -3.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.62%EV -7.75%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 13:35
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -14.28%E -3.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.42%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 52.58%EV -14.62%E -9.31%K -25.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.01%EV -16.51%E -4.40%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.40%EV -24.10%E -7.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%21.1%2026-05-09 13:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.94%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.04%4.35I 22.99%NM 23.02%-0.1%2026-05-09 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-05-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-05-09 13:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-05-09 13:55
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.88%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-09 13:55
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.88%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-09 13:54