Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Zulte-Waregem v Charleroi

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Zulte-Waregem (Local)

Prediction 39.54%2.53fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.784%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.55%39.63%39.52%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.342.352.4847.62%42.67%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charleroi (Visit)

Prediction 32.77%3.05fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.341%
Kelly -0.510%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.74%32.76%32.76%33.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.822.853.0238.46%35.48%35.09%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.69%3.61fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.558%
Kelly -0.778%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%27.61%27.71%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.363.403.5434.72%29.75%29.41%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SV Zulte-Waregem (Local): 39.54%; Charleroi (Visit): 32.77%; Draw: 27.69%. For Charleroi (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.02, with an expected value of -1.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.99%EV -1.94%E -0.784%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -4.64%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.78%EV -3.64%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.13%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.35%EV -5.62%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -3.08%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 17:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.13%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.35%EV -5.62%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -3.08%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 17:14
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -3.13%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.51%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.14%EV -1.69%E -0.562%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.35%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 08:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.51%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.14%EV -1.69%E -0.562%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.35%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 08:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.11%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.35%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.11%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.35%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 17:14
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.14%EV -1.03%E -0.341%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.42%EV -1.98%E -0.558%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 17:24
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 17:15
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:15
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:15
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 17:15
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.96%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 15:00
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:14
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:15
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:14
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:14
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 17:15
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 17:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 17:15
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -6.29%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -4.96%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -6.29%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -4.96%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:00
Suprabets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.43%EV -6.29%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.67%EV -6.27%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:21
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -5.62%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 17:24
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -5.62%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 17:25
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:24
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:24
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.71%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.18%EV -4.96%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -8.07%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 14:59
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -9.88%E -3.59%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 17:15
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.96%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.08%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 17:25
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.62%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.08%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:23
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.32%E -1.13%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:23
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.08%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:24
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.08%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.08%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 17:15
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.88%E -3.59%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 17:15
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 17:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.31%EV -10.25%E -4.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.81%EV -10.86%E -3.99%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.88%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 17:12
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -11.04%E -4.91%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -14.79%E -5.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-22 17:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.57%EV -12.22%E -5.51%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.54%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.89%EV -12.78%E -4.06%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 17:24
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -13.01%E -5.92%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.88%E -3.59%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 17:25
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -13.01%E -5.92%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-22 17:24
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -13.01%E -5.92%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 17:15
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -14.99%E -6.97%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -14.14%E -5.40%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-22 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.42%EV -16.97%E -8.08%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.84%EV -14.79%E -5.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.74%EV -20.25%E -7.03%K -10.77%G +0.000%20.8%2026-03-22 17:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.58%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.71%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-03-22 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-03-22 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-03-22 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-03-22 17:25
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-03-22 17:25
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.63%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58%2.2%2026-03-22 17:25