La escuela de los momios

SV Zulte-Waregem v Charleroi

Inicio: 2026-03-22 17:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SV Zulte-Waregem (Local)

Predicción 39.54%2.53momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -0.784%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.55%39.63%39.52%40.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.342.352.4847.62%42.67%42.55%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Charleroi (Visitante)

Predicción 32.77%3.05momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.341%
Kelly -0.510%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.74%32.76%32.76%33.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.822.853.0238.46%35.48%35.09%33.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.69%3.61momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.558%
Kelly -0.778%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.35%27.61%27.71%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.363.403.5434.72%29.75%29.41%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 38.99%EV -1.94%E -0.784%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -4.64%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.78%EV -3.64%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 17:15
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.13%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.35%EV -5.62%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -3.08%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 17:14
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.13%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.35%EV -5.62%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -3.08%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 17:14
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -3.13%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:15
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.51%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.14%EV -1.69%E -0.562%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.35%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 08:59
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.51%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.14%EV -1.69%E -0.562%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.35%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 08:59
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.11%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.35%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 17:15
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.11%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.35%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 17:14
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.14%EV -1.03%E -0.341%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.42%EV -1.98%E -0.558%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 17:24
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 17:15
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:15
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:15
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:15
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 17:15
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.96%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 15:00
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:14
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:15
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:14
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:14
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 17:15
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 17:15
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 17:14
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.24%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 17:15
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -6.29%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -4.96%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -6.29%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -4.96%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:00
Suprabets2.37I 42.19%NM 39.43%EV -6.29%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.67%EV -6.27%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:21
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -5.62%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 17:24
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -5.62%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 17:25
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:24
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:24
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:25
Marathon Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.71%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.18%EV -4.96%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -8.07%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 14:59
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -9.88%E -3.59%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 17:15
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.96%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.08%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 17:25
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.62%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.08%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:23
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.32%E -1.13%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:23
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.08%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:24
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.08%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:24
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.60%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.08%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:24
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 17:15
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.88%E -3.59%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 17:25
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 17:15
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 17:15
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 17:04
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 39.31%EV -10.25%E -4.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.81%EV -10.86%E -3.99%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.88%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 17:12
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -11.04%E -4.91%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -14.79%E -5.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-22 17:15
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 39.57%EV -12.22%E -5.51%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.54%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.89%EV -12.78%E -4.06%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 17:24
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -13.01%E -5.92%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.88%E -3.59%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 17:25
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -13.01%E -5.92%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-22 17:24
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -13.01%E -5.92%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 17:15
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -14.99%E -6.97%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -14.14%E -5.40%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-22 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.42%EV -16.97%E -8.08%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.84%EV -14.79%E -5.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.74%EV -20.25%E -7.03%K -10.77%G +0.000%20.8%2026-03-22 17:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.58%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.71%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-03-22 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-03-22 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-03-22 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-03-22 17:25
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-03-22 17:25
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.63%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58%2.2%2026-03-22 17:25