Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.60
assuming max odds 3.22
assuming max odds 3.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Standard Liege (Local): 38.16%; Westerlo (Visit): 32.32%; Draw: 29.52%. For Westerlo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.06%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.14%EV +4.06%E +1.26%K +1.83%G +0.074% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV -2.57%E -0.780%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.64%EV -5.36%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.42%EV -1.43%E -0.470%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.94%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.64%EV -5.36%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.42%EV -1.43%E -0.470%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.94%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.40%EV -3.84%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.83%EV -1.76%E -0.578%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.20%EV -3.84%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.20%EV -3.84%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.50%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.79%EV -7.30%E -2.32%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 17:27 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.29%EV -9.07%E -2.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.84%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -5.63%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -5.63%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.93%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 17:28 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.67%EV -11.09%E -4.76%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -6.93%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.67%EV -11.09%E -4.76%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -6.93%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.79%EV -0.785%E -0.302%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.33%EV -7.25%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.89%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -2.69%E -1.06%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.57%E -0.780%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.75%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.42%EV -10.54%E -3.48%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -16.05%E -7.29%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.33%E -4.39%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.13%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -11.13%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -11.13%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.69%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.11%EV -12.74%E -4.72%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.20%EV -15.27%E -5.32%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -14.36%E -5.42%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.48%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.56%EV -19.21%E -7.68%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.96%EV -17.33%E -6.19%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 1.1% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.84% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.6% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.91% | 2.9% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |