La escuela de los momios

Standard Liege v Westerlo

Inicio: 2026-03-22 17:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Standard Liege (Local)

Predicción 38.16%2.62momio equitativo
EV -0.785%
Ventaja -0.302%
Kelly -0.491%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.48%38.15%38.14%40.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.422.432.6045.45%41.28%41.15%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Westerlo (Visitante)

Predicción 32.32%3.09momio equitativo
EV +4.06%
Ventaja +1.26%
Kelly +1.83%
Crecimiento +0.074%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.14%32.32%32.33%33.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.892.903.2240.00%34.56%34.48%31.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.52%3.39momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -0.780%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.14%29.52%29.53%30.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.123.153.3035.71%32.05%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.14%EV +4.06%E +1.26%K +1.83%G +0.074%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV -2.57%E -0.780%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 17:29
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.64%EV -5.36%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.42%EV -1.43%E -0.470%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.94%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 17:29
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.64%EV -5.36%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.42%EV -1.43%E -0.470%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.94%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 17:29
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.40%EV -3.84%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.83%EV -1.76%E -0.578%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 17:29
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.20%EV -3.84%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 17:30
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.20%EV -3.84%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -4.34%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 17:29
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:30
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:29
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 17:30
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 17:30
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 17:30
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 17:30
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 17:29
Suprabets2.43I 41.15%NM 38.50%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.79%EV -7.30%E -2.32%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:27
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:30
Marathon Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.29%EV -9.07%E -2.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:29
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 17:29
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 17:29
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.84%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 17:30
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -5.63%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:29
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -5.63%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:29
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:29
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:29
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 17:29
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 17:29
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 17:29
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.93%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:28
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.67%EV -11.09%E -4.76%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -6.93%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 17:29
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.67%EV -11.09%E -4.76%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -6.93%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 17:30
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.79%EV -0.785%E -0.302%K -0.491%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.33%EV -7.25%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.89%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 17:29
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -2.69%E -1.06%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 17:29
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:29
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:29
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:30
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:30
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.57%E -0.780%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 17:30
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 17:30
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 17:30
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.75%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.42%EV -10.54%E -3.48%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 17:29
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -16.05%E -7.29%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-22 17:29
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.33%E -4.39%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.13%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 17:30
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -11.13%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 17:29
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -11.13%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-22 17:30
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.69%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.11%EV -12.74%E -4.72%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.20%EV -15.27%E -5.32%K -8.16%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-22 17:29
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -14.36%E -5.42%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.48%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.56%EV -19.21%E -7.68%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.96%EV -17.33%E -6.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-22 17:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%0.6%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%0.6%2026-03-22 17:30
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.84%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.6%2026-03-22 17:30
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-03-22 17:30
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.91%2.9%2026-03-22 17:30