Language:English
Standard Liege v Westerlo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Standard Liege (Local)
Prediction 39.35%2.54fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -0.973%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.00%39.38%39.33%40.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.4845.45%42.57%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Westerlo (Visit)
Prediction 32.29%3.10fair odd
EV +3.00%
Edge +0.940%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 3.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.36%32.10%32.38%33.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.872.883.1938.46%34.81%34.72%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.36%3.53fair odd
EV -0.730%
Edge -0.208%
Kelly -0.292%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.47%28.52%28.29%30.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.243.273.5035.71%30.83%30.58%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Standard Liege (Local): 39.35%; Westerlo (Visit): 32.29%; Draw: 28.36%. For Westerlo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.02%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.36%EV +3.00%E +0.940%K +1.37%G +0.041% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.62%EV -7.25%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -8.32%E -3.57%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.56%EV -1.20%E -0.392%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.31%EV -9.52%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 16:12 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -1.52%E -0.499%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 16:13 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.58%EV -3.59%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.32%EV -3.14%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.14%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.14%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.36%EV -3.78%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.38%EV -9.81%E -3.08%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08%EV -2.41%E -0.973%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.74%EV -4.43%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.17%EV -2.43%E -0.707%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.10%EV -7.92%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 30.91%EV -4.43%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.10%EV -7.92%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 30.91%EV -4.43%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23%EV -2.41%E -0.973%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.98%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.80%EV -0.730%E -0.208%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -6.74%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -6.74%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 16:11 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -7.01%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -7.01%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.01%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -8.32%E -3.57%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 16:13 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.44%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.39%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.17%EV -8.67%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 16:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.28%E -4.51%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.28%E -4.51%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -8.71%E -3.75%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.08%EV -13.43%E -6.10%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.27%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.65%EV -17.75%E -6.12%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.55%EV -12.18%E -4.48%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -12.82%E -4.75%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -14.44%E -5.45%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.00%EV -13.43%E -6.10%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.15%EV -16.05%E -6.17%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.85%EV -20.58%E -7.35%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-04-11 16:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05% | 2.8% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05% | 2.8% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.76% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |