L’École des cotes

Standard Liege v Westerlo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 16:17 UTC

Score final : Standard Liege 1–2 Westerlo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Standard Liege (Local)

Prévision 39.35%2.54cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -0.973%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.00%39.38%39.33%40.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.352.352.4845.45%42.57%42.55%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Westerlo (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.29%3.10cote équitable
EV +3.00%
Avantage +0.940%
Kelly +1.37%
Croissance +0.041%

avec la cote maximale 3.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.36%32.10%32.38%33.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.872.883.1938.46%34.81%34.72%31.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.36%3.53cote équitable
EV -0.730%
Avantage -0.208%
Kelly -0.292%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.47%28.52%28.29%30.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.243.273.5035.71%30.83%30.58%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.42I 41.32%NM 40.02%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.36%EV +3.00%E +0.940%K +1.37%G +0.041%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.62%EV -7.25%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 16:14
Suprabets2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -8.32%E -3.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.56%EV -1.20%E -0.392%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.31%EV -9.52%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 16:12
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -1.52%E -0.499%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 16:13
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.58%EV -3.59%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.32%EV -3.14%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 16:15
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.14%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 16:14
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.14%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 16:15
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.36%EV -3.78%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.38%EV -9.81%E -3.08%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 16:14
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08%EV -2.41%E -0.973%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.74%EV -4.43%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.17%EV -2.43%E -0.707%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 16:14
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 39.10%EV -7.92%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.91%EV -4.43%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 16:15
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 39.10%EV -7.92%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.91%EV -4.43%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 16:15
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 39.23%EV -2.41%E -0.973%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.98%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.80%EV -0.730%E -0.208%K -0.292%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-11 16:14
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 16:15
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:14
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:14
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:15
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -6.74%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -6.74%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 16:15
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 16:15
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 16:15
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 16:11
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:15
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 16:14
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 16:14
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -7.01%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 16:14
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -7.01%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 16:14
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.01%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 16:15
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:14
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 16:10
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 16:14
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 16:14
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 16:15
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 16:14
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 16:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 16:14
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -8.32%E -3.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 16:15
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 16:14
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 16:13
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 16:14
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 16:14
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.44%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.39%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.17%EV -8.67%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 16:06
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.28%E -4.51%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 16:15
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.28%E -4.51%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 16:15
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 16:14
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 16:15
PMU (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -8.71%E -3.75%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 16:14
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.08%EV -13.43%E -6.10%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.27%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.65%EV -17.75%E -6.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-11 16:15
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.55%EV -12.18%E -4.48%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 16:15
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -12.82%E -4.75%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 16:15
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -14.44%E -5.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.00%EV -13.43%E -6.10%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.15%EV -16.05%E -6.17%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.85%EV -20.58%E -7.35%K -11.44%G +0.000%19.6%2026-04-11 16:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-04-11 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-04-11 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-04-11 16:15
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%2.8%2026-04-11 16:15
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%2.8%2026-04-11 16:15
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.76%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%3.1%2026-04-11 16:15