L’École des cotes

Standard Liege v Royal Antwerp

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 18:30 UTC

Score final : Standard Liege 1–2 Royal Antwerp

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Standard Liege (Local)

Prévision 35.62%2.81cote équitable
EV +2.60%
Avantage +0.902%
Kelly +1.38%
Croissance +0.036%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.73%35.58%35.68%36.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.592.602.8841.67%38.55%38.46%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Royal Antwerp (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.63%2.89cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.456%
Kelly -0.703%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.33%34.62%34.85%36.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.692.702.8541.67%37.17%37.04%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.74%3.36cote équitable
EV -1.85%
Avantage -0.559%
Kelly -0.803%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.73%29.80%29.47%31.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.113.103.3037.04%32.20%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.73%EV +2.60%E +0.902%K +1.38%G +0.036%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.11%EV -6.84%E -2.54%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.17%EV -4.23%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 18:25
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 35.10%EV -1.68%E -0.607%K -0.952%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.24%EV -1.99%E -0.704%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.66%EV -6.01%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 18:25
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -3.81%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 18:10
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.81%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 16:49
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.81%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 16:50
Suprabets2.67I 37.45%NM 34.99%EV -4.88%E -1.83%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.48%EV -6.15%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.53%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:08
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -2.34%E -0.829%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:15
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -2.34%E -0.829%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:15
BetAnything2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -2.34%E -0.829%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:15
Marathon Bet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.04%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.40%EV -6.15%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 18:15
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.59%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.02%EV -1.30%E -0.456%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -1.85%E -0.559%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 17:40
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.59%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.02%EV -1.30%E -0.456%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -1.85%E -0.559%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.23%E -3.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 07:45
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.23%E -3.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 07:45
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 15:30
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -3.03%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:13
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -6.49%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:09
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -6.49%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:09
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -6.66%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -6.49%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 07:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.66%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 07:45
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.66%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:05
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.66%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:04
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.66%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:04
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.66%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:05
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -3.03%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 17:40
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -3.03%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 17:40
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.49%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 18:18
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.49%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 09:00
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.49%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 09:00
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.49%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 09:00
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -8.23%E -3.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 08:59
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 11:25
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 09:00
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -8.23%E -3.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.74%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 16:50
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:40
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:40
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:40
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:40
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:40
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:40
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:40
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -11.69%E -4.58%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 07:45
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 35.95%EV -9.87%E -3.90%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.49%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 17:40
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 18:00
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -8.92%E -3.39%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.74%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-21 18:15
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -13.74%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-21 18:14
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.46%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.49%EV -11.00%E -4.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -12.26%E -4.15%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-21 18:25
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -11.65%E -4.70%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -8.23%E -3.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 17:40
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.57%EV -12.72%E -5.19%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.06%EV -8.92%E -3.39%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-21 17:40
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.57%EV -12.72%E -5.19%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.06%EV -8.92%E -3.39%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-21 17:40
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -12.72%E -5.19%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-21 07:45
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.49%EV -12.72%E -5.19%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.45%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.06%EV -16.72%E -5.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-21 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -14.50%E -6.04%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -16.88%E -7.04%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -19.69%E -7.29%K -11.58%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-21 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%0.7%2026-04-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%0.7%2026-04-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%0.7%2026-04-21 18:25
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%0.7%2026-04-21 18:25
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.70%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.98%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32%1.5%2026-04-21 18:25
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%1.9%2026-04-21 18:05