La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Standard Liege v Royal Antwerp
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Standard Liege (Local)
Predicción 35.62%2.81momio equitativo
EV +2.60%
Ventaja +0.902%
Kelly +1.38%
Crecimiento +0.036%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.73%35.58%35.68%36.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.592.602.8841.67%38.55%38.46%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Royal Antwerp (Visitante)
Predicción 34.63%2.89momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.456%
Kelly -0.703%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.33%34.62%34.85%36.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.692.702.8541.67%37.17%37.04%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.74%3.36momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -0.559%
Kelly -0.803%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.73%29.80%29.47%31.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.113.103.3037.04%32.20%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.73%EV +2.60%E +0.902%K +1.38%G +0.036% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.11%EV -6.84%E -2.54%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.17%EV -4.23%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.10%EV -1.68%E -0.607%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.24%EV -1.99%E -0.704%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.66%EV -6.01%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -3.81%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.81%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 16:49 |
| Betsson | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -3.81%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Suprabets | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.99%EV -4.88%E -1.83%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.48%EV -6.15%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.53%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 18:08 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -2.34%E -0.829%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -2.34%E -0.829%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| BetAnything | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -2.34%E -0.829%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.04%EV -5.24%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.40%EV -6.15%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.59%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.02%EV -1.30%E -0.456%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -1.85%E -0.559%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.59%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.02%EV -1.30%E -0.456%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -1.85%E -0.559%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.23%E -3.10%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 07:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.23%E -3.10%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 07:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 15:30 |
| BetUS | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -3.03%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 18:13 |
| Bovada | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -6.49%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 18:09 |
| Everygame | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -6.49%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 18:09 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -6.66%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -6.49%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 07:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.66%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 07:45 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.66%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.66%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 18:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.66%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 18:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.66%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -3.03%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -3.03%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.49%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 18:18 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.49%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 09:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.49%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 09:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.49%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -8.23%E -3.10%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 08:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 11:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 09:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -8.23%E -3.10%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.74%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| betPARX | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -11.69%E -4.58%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.95%EV -9.87%E -3.90%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.49%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -8.92%E -3.39%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.74%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -13.74%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-21 18:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.46%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.49%EV -11.00%E -4.28%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -12.26%E -4.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -11.65%E -4.70%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -8.23%E -3.10%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.57%EV -12.72%E -5.19%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.06%EV -8.92%E -3.39%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.57%EV -12.72%E -5.19%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.06%EV -8.92%E -3.39%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -12.72%E -5.19%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-21 07:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.49%EV -12.72%E -5.19%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.45%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.06%EV -16.72%E -5.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-21 18:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -14.50%E -6.04%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -16.88%E -7.04%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -19.69%E -7.29%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.70% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.98% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32% | 1.5% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38% | 1.9% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |