Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Standard Liege v RAAL La Louvière

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-21 18:45 UTC

Score final : Standard Liege 2–0 RAAL La Louvière

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Standard Liege (Local)

Prévision 49.68%2.01cote équitable
EV -4.62%
Avantage -2.41%
Kelly -5.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.35%49.71%49.71%51.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.761.861.871.9256.82%53.73%53.48%52.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

RAAL La Louvière (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.86%4.38cote équitable
EV -0.344%
Avantage -0.079%
Kelly -0.102%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.18%22.88%22.85%24.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.044.004.3627.03%24.77%25.00%22.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.47%3.64cote équitable
EV +1.07%
Avantage +0.291%
Kelly +0.400%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.38%27.41%27.44%28.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.363.403.6832.26%29.77%29.41%27.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Standard Liege (Local) : 49.68% ; RAAL La Louvière (Visiteur) : 22.86% ; Match nul : 27.47%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.64. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.68, soit une espérance positive de +1.07%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.09%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.52%EV -1.49%E -0.345%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.38%EV +1.07%E +0.291%K +0.400%G +0.004%3.0%2026-08-21 18:37
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.36%EV -4.62%E -2.41%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.18%EV -0.344%E -0.079%K -0.102%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.32%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-21 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.12%EV -4.62%E -2.41%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.72%E -0.399%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.12%EV -4.62%E -2.41%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.72%E -0.399%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.12%EV -4.62%E -2.41%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.72%E -0.399%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 18:39
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -6.61%E -3.51%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 18:19
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 18:39
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 18:34
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 18:25
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 18:19
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 18:20
Suprabets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.25%EV -7.60%E -4.09%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 18:20
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -6.61%E -3.51%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 18:25
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:25
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:28
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:39
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:37
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-21 18:34
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -14.29%E -3.81%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 12:29
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -7.60%E -4.09%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -14.29%E -3.81%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.14%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -7.17%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 18:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 18:20
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -6.61%E -3.51%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 18:35
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -6.61%E -3.51%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 18:28
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.14%EV -9.59%E -5.27%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -15.43%E -4.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-21 18:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.34%EV -8.59%E -4.67%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.40%EV -11.32%E -2.92%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.26%EV -8.54%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:24
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 18:39
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 18:39
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 18:24
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.56%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -9.72%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.56%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -9.72%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 18:39
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.56%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -9.72%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 18:39
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.00%E -3.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.35%EV -7.60%E -4.09%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -14.29%E -3.81%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-21 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.48%EV -10.08%E -5.57%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-21 18:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.04%EV -11.57%E -6.50%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.55%EV -9.72%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-21 18:39
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -10.58%E -5.88%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-21 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -10.58%E -5.88%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-21 18:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.40%EV -11.08%E -6.19%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -12.00%E -3.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-21 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.40%EV -11.08%E -6.19%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -12.00%E -3.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-21 18:39
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.97%EV -10.58%E -5.88%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -14.86%E -4.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-21 18:19
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.53%EV -12.57%E -7.14%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.35%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -14.86%E -4.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-21 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 50.01%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.98%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.01%-0.0%2026-08-21 18:20
Matchbook◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.24%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-08-21 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-21 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-21 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-21 18:40
Smarkets◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.45%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.43%2.7%2026-08-21 18:40