Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.50
assuming max odds 3.34
assuming max odds 3.18
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Standard Liege (Local): 39.12%; RAAL La Louvière (Visit): 29.97%; Draw: 30.90%. For RAAL La Louvière (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.336. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.340, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.108%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.43%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.05%EV +0.108%E +0.032%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.51%EV -1.72%E -0.542%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -1.09%E -0.331%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 19:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.35%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.52%EV -1.69%E -0.515%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.13%EV -3.89%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-27 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.50%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -2.59%E -0.797%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.50%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -2.59%E -0.797%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.90%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.78%EV -2.89%E -0.892%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.32%EV -4.81%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.90%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.78%EV -2.89%E -0.892%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.32%EV -4.81%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 19:29 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.45%EV -7.28%E -3.07%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.49%EV -4.99%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.06%EV -6.98%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 18:37 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.55%EV -5.29%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.23%EV -7.60%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 19:38 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 19:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 19:23 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 17:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 17:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -8.84%E -3.80%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 19:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -15.01%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -10.80%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.58%E -2.81%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -10.80%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.58%E -2.81%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -2.19%E -0.877%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -2.19%E -0.877%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 15:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -2.19%E -0.877%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 15:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 07:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -16.56%E -6.13%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -11.58%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -11.58%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%EV -10.80%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.30%EV -11.58%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.50%EV -9.45%E -3.23%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.16%EV -12.48%E -4.27%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.69%EV -11.30%E -3.94%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -13.08%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -16.08%E -5.74%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-27 17:58 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.48% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.09% | 0.5% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.98% | 2.5% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |