La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Standard Liege v RAAL La Louvière
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Standard Liege (Local)
Predicción 39.12%2.56momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.877%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.69%39.10%39.07%40.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.372.382.5044.44%42.20%42.02%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
RAAL La Louvière (Visitante)
Predicción 29.97%3.34momio equitativo
EV +0.108%
Ventaja +0.032%
Kelly +0.046%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.29%30.05%29.99%31.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.113.103.3435.71%32.17%32.26%29.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.90%3.24momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -0.542%
Kelly -0.791%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.72%30.84%30.94%32.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.003.003.1837.04%33.33%33.33%31.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.43%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.05%EV +0.108%E +0.032%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.51%EV -1.72%E -0.542%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -1.09%E -0.331%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 19:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.35%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.52%EV -1.69%E -0.515%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.13%EV -3.89%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-27 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.50%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -2.59%E -0.797%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.50%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -2.59%E -0.797%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.90%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.78%EV -2.89%E -0.892%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.32%EV -4.81%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.90%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.78%EV -2.89%E -0.892%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.32%EV -4.81%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 19:29 |
| Suprabets | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.45%EV -7.28%E -3.07%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.49%EV -4.99%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.06%EV -6.98%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 18:37 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.55%EV -5.29%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.23%EV -7.60%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 19:38 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 19:30 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 19:23 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 17:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 17:58 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| BetAnything | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -8.84%E -3.80%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 19:35 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 19:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -15.01%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -10.80%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.58%E -2.81%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -10.80%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.58%E -2.81%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -2.19%E -0.877%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -2.19%E -0.877%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 15:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -2.19%E -0.877%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 15:59 |
| Betsson | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 07:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -16.56%E -6.13%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -11.58%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -11.58%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%EV -10.80%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.30%EV -11.58%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.50%EV -9.45%E -3.23%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.16%EV -12.48%E -4.27%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.69%EV -11.30%E -3.94%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -13.08%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -16.08%E -5.74%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-27 17:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.48% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.09% | 0.5% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Smarkets | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.98% | 2.5% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |