The School of Odds

Standard Liege v Cercle Brugge KSV

2026-08-08 16:15 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Standard Liege (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -41.32%
Kelly -70.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.36%0.00%0.00%41.01%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.302.4248%44%43%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -30.67%
Kelly -44.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.27%0.00%0.00%31.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.802.962.903.2636%34%34%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -30.77%
Kelly -44.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.77%0.00%0.00%31.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.903.053.053.2534%33%33%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.44%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.27%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%4.8%2026-07-14 18:18
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%5.6%2026-07-14 18:18
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%10.5%2026-07-14 18:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%10.5%2026-07-14 18:19
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%14.0%2026-07-14 18:15
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.01%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.49%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.49%16.1%2026-07-14 18:28
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.85%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.58%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.58%16.6%2026-07-14 18:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 40.22%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.89%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.89%16.2%2026-07-14 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-14 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-14 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-14 18:20