Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Standard Liege v Cercle Brugge KSV

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 16:15 UTC

Final: Standard Liege 2–2 Cercle Brugge KSV

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Standard Liege (Local)

Prediction 40.22%2.49fair odd
EV -0.254%
Edge -0.103%
Kelly -0.172%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.36%40.26%40.30%42.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.322.322.4847.17%43.14%43.10%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit)

Prediction 32.37%3.09fair odd
EV +0.345%
Edge +0.111%
Kelly +0.164%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.15%32.27%32.36%33.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.852.853.1037.74%35.15%35.09%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.41%3.65fair odd
EV +0.049%
Edge +0.013%
Kelly +0.019%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.40%27.47%27.34%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.353.373.6531.75%29.88%29.67%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Standard Liege (Local): 40.22%; Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit): 32.37%; Draw: 27.41%. For Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.345%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.345%E +0.111%K +0.164%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:59
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.68%EV -7.09%E -3.07%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.36%EV -0.626%E -0.204%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.97%EV -2.14%E -0.600%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 16:00
Suprabets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.17%EV -10.71%E -4.83%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.27%E -0.418%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 16:06
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.89%E -0.964%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 15:59
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -2.89%E -0.964%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 16:04
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -2.89%E -0.964%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 16:03
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.91%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.53%EV -3.54%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV +0.049%E +0.013%K +0.019%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-08 16:10
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.22%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.54%EV -3.54%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -6.69%E -2.88%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.78%EV -4.19%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -6.69%E -2.88%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.78%EV -4.19%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:10
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -5.48%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:09
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -5.48%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.85%EV -0.254%E -0.103%K -0.172%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.93%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 15:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.85%EV -0.254%E -0.103%K -0.172%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.93%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 15:34
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 15:50
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 15:55
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 16:05
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.36%EV -7.09%E -3.07%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -6.26%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 16:10
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -11.52%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 16:04
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -1.46%E -0.596%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.16%EV -7.10%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 15:50
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.95%EV -2.27%E -0.932%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 15:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 15:55
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 15:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 15:49
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -11.52%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 15:29
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 15:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 15:29
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 15:55
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 15:59
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 15:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.02%EV -7.63%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -11.52%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.52%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 16:05
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.52%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 16:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.67%EV -14.73%E -6.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 16:05
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.98%E -3.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -10.98%E -3.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 15:59
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.58%EV -13.53%E -6.29%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -10.98%E -3.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -13.66%E -4.34%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-08 16:04
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.60%E -4.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:50
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -12.60%E -4.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 15:34
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -12.60%E -4.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.70%EV -6.69%E -2.88%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25%EV -12.60%E -4.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -11.52%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.60%E -4.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 15:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -14.22%E -5.37%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -13.66%E -4.34%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -14.22%E -5.37%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -13.66%E -4.34%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 15:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -14.22%E -5.37%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -13.66%E -4.34%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-08-08 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-08-08 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-08-08 16:05
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-08-08 16:05
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%1.9%2026-08-08 16:10
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.92%4.0%2026-08-08 16:00