Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Standard Liege v Cercle Brugge KSV

Início: 2026-08-08 16:15 UTC

Final: Standard Liege 2–2 Cercle Brugge KSV

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Standard Liege (Local)

Previsão 40.22%2.49odd justa
EV -0.254%
Vantagem -0.103%
Kelly -0.172%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.36%40.26%40.30%42.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.122.322.322.4847.17%43.14%43.10%40.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cercle Brugge KSV (Visitante)

Previsão 32.37%3.09odd justa
EV +0.345%
Vantagem +0.111%
Kelly +0.164%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.15%32.27%32.36%33.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.652.852.853.1037.74%35.15%35.09%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.41%3.65odd justa
EV +0.049%
Vantagem +0.013%
Kelly +0.019%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.40%27.47%27.34%28.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.353.373.6531.75%29.88%29.67%27.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Standard Liege (Local): 40.22%; Cercle Brugge KSV (Visitante): 32.37%; Empate: 27.41%. Para Cercle Brugge KSV (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.09. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.345%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.345%E +0.111%K +0.164%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:59
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.68%EV -7.09%E -3.07%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.36%EV -0.626%E -0.204%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.97%EV -2.14%E -0.600%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 16:00
Suprabets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.17%EV -10.71%E -4.83%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.27%E -0.418%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 16:06
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.89%E -0.964%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 15:59
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -2.89%E -0.964%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 16:04
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -2.89%E -0.964%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 16:03
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.91%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.53%EV -3.54%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV +0.049%E +0.013%K +0.019%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-08 16:10
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.22%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.54%EV -3.54%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -6.69%E -2.88%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.78%EV -4.19%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -6.69%E -2.88%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.78%EV -4.19%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:10
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -5.48%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:09
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -5.48%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.85%EV -0.254%E -0.103%K -0.172%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.93%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 15:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.85%EV -0.254%E -0.103%K -0.172%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.93%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 15:34
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 15:50
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 15:55
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 16:05
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.36%EV -7.09%E -3.07%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -6.26%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 16:10
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -11.52%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 16:04
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -1.46%E -0.596%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.16%EV -7.10%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 15:50
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.95%EV -2.27%E -0.932%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 15:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 15:55
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 15:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 15:49
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -11.52%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 15:29
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 15:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 15:29
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 15:55
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 15:59
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 15:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.02%EV -7.63%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -11.52%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.52%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 16:05
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.52%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 16:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.67%EV -14.73%E -6.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 16:05
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.98%E -3.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -10.98%E -3.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 15:59
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.58%EV -13.53%E -6.29%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -10.98%E -3.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -13.66%E -4.34%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-08 16:04
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.60%E -4.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:50
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -12.60%E -4.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 15:34
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -12.60%E -4.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.70%EV -6.69%E -2.88%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25%EV -12.60%E -4.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -11.52%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.60%E -4.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 15:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -14.22%E -5.37%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -13.66%E -4.34%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -14.22%E -5.37%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -13.66%E -4.34%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 15:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -14.22%E -5.37%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -13.66%E -4.34%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 15:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-08-08 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-08-08 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-08-08 16:05
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-08-08 16:05
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%1.9%2026-08-08 16:10
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.92%4.0%2026-08-08 16:00