Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.70
assuming max odds 5.29
assuming max odds 4.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sint Truiden (Local): 57.91%; Westerlo (Visit): 19.88%; Draw: 22.22%. For Westerlo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.03. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.29, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.14%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.08%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.20%EV +5.14%E +0.972%K +1.20%G +0.062% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.71%EV -5.80%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -10.24%E -6.61%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV +3.35%E +0.645%K +0.798%G +0.027% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.93%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.23%EV -0.622%E -0.124%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.84%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -0.622%E -0.124%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -0.622%E -0.124%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -8.51%E -5.38%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -0.622%E -0.124%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-20 13:53 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -2.61%E -0.532%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -2.61%E -0.532%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -2.61%E -0.532%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.32%EV -3.60%E -0.743%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.50%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.21%EV -3.60%E -0.743%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.24%E -0.510%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 13:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.24%E -0.510%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 13:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.30%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 13:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -3.35%E -0.771%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -11.40%E -7.45%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -15.57%E -4.10%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.61%EV -1.56%E -0.917%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.48%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.61%EV -1.56%E -0.917%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.48%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.61%EV -1.56%E -0.917%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.48%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.09%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.19%EV -12.56%E -8.32%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.69%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -15.57%E -4.10%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -13.35%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.35%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 13:58 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.35%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 13:58 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.35%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 13:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -8.51%E -5.38%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.63%EV -11.40%E -7.45%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -15.57%E -4.10%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -2.24%E -0.510%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -2.24%E -0.510%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -2.24%E -0.510%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 13:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.89%EV -7.93%E -4.99%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.50%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.14%EV -12.56%E -8.32%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -15.57%E -4.10%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-20 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -11.40%E -7.45%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.48%EV -7.80%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 13:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.32%EV -10.24%E -6.61%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.19%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -12.24%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV -14.53%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -13.35%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV -14.53%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -13.35%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV -14.53%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -13.35%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 13:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -14.53%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.65%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -15.53%E -3.65%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -14.46%E -3.76%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-20 13:58 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.65%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -15.53%E -3.65%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -14.46%E -3.76%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-20 13:58 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.65%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -15.53%E -3.65%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -14.46%E -3.76%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -11.40%E -7.45%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -16.52%E -3.93%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.56% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.56% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.56% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.72% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.30% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24% | 2.2% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |