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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Sint Truiden v Westerlo

Inicio: 2026-09-20 14:02 UTC

Final: Sint Truiden 0–2 Westerlo

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sint Truiden (Local)

Predicción 57.91%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -0.917%
Kelly -2.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.27%57.94%57.85%60.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.511.611.621.7066.23%62.11%61.73%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Westerlo (Visitante)

Predicción 19.88%5.03momio equitativo
EV +5.14%
Ventaja +0.972%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.062%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.97%19.80%19.83%21.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.634.605.2923.81%21.62%21.74%18.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 22.22%4.50momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -0.510%
Kelly -0.660%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.01%22.27%22.31%24.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.104.104.4026.32%24.40%24.39%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sint Truiden (Local): 57.91%; Westerlo (Visitante): 19.88%; Empate: 22.22%. Para Westerlo (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.03. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.29, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.14%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.08%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.20%EV +5.14%E +0.972%K +1.20%G +0.062%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.71%EV -5.80%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -10.24%E -6.61%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV +3.35%E +0.645%K +0.798%G +0.027%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 14:00
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.93%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.23%EV -0.622%E -0.124%K -0.155%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.84%EV -6.46%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -0.622%E -0.124%K -0.155%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 13:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -0.622%E -0.124%K -0.155%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 13:54
Suprabets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -8.51%E -5.38%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -0.622%E -0.124%K -0.155%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 13:53
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -2.61%E -0.532%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -2.61%E -0.532%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 14:00
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -2.61%E -0.532%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 13:59
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.32%EV -3.60%E -0.743%K -0.936%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:00
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.50%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.21%EV -3.60%E -0.743%K -0.936%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 13:54
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 13:59
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.24%E -0.510%K -0.660%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 13:58
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.24%E -0.510%K -0.660%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 13:58
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.30%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 13:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -3.35%E -0.771%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 13:55
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 13:59
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -11.40%E -7.45%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -15.57%E -4.10%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 13:55
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.61%EV -1.56%E -0.917%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.48%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.61%EV -1.56%E -0.917%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.48%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 13:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.61%EV -1.56%E -0.917%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.48%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.09%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:59
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.19%EV -12.56%E -8.32%K -24.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.69%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -15.57%E -4.10%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-20 14:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -13.35%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 13:59
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.35%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 13:58
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.35%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 13:58
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.35%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 13:58
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -8.51%E -5.38%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 14:00
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.63%EV -11.40%E -7.45%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -15.57%E -4.10%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -2.24%E -0.510%K -0.660%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 13:55
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -2.24%E -0.510%K -0.660%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 13:59
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -2.24%E -0.510%K -0.660%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:00
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 13:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 14:00
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 13:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 13:59
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 13:59
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.89%EV -7.93%E -4.99%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.50%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.14%EV -12.56%E -8.32%K -24.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 13:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 13:55
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -15.57%E -4.10%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 13:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -11.40%E -7.45%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.48%EV -7.80%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 13:58
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.32%EV -10.24%E -6.61%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.19%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -12.24%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 14:00
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV -14.53%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -13.35%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV -14.53%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -13.35%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:00
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV -14.53%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -13.35%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 13:58
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -14.53%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.65%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -15.53%E -3.65%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -14.46%E -3.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 13:58
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.65%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -15.53%E -3.65%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -14.46%E -3.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 13:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.65%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -15.53%E -3.65%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -14.46%E -3.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 14:00
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -11.40%E -7.45%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -16.52%E -3.93%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-20 13:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-09-20 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.56%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.2%2026-09-20 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.56%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.2%2026-09-20 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.56%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.2%2026-09-20 14:00
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.72%1.2%2026-09-20 13:35
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.30%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24%2.2%2026-09-20 14:00