Language:English
Sint Truiden v Union Saint-Gilloise
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sint Truiden (Local)
Prediction 25.84%3.87fair odd
EV +6.96%
Edge +1.68%
Kelly +2.22%
Growth +0.154%
assuming max odds 4.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.42%25.78%25.76%27.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.583.554.1429.85%27.90%28.17%24.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit)
Prediction 48.36%2.07fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.93%48.42%48.43%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.921.912.0254.95%52.07%52.36%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.80%3.88fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -0.863%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.90%25.80%25.81%27.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.563.603.7530.77%28.10%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sint Truiden (Local): 25.84%; Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit): 48.36%; Draw: 25.80%. For Sint Truiden (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.96%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.42%EV +6.96%E +1.68%K +2.22%G +0.154% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.07%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.66%EV +1.28%E +0.326%K +0.438%G +0.006% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.57%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -3.24%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV +0.761%E +0.195%K +0.262%G +0.002% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -9.57%E -5.12%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -1.82%E -0.480%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.77%EV -3.63%E -0.974%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.54%EV -4.25%E -2.15%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.70%EV -3.49%E -0.934%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 14:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.77%EV -3.63%E -0.974%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.54%EV -4.25%E -2.15%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.70%EV -3.49%E -0.934%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.77%EV -3.63%E -0.974%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.54%EV -4.25%E -2.15%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.70%EV -3.49%E -0.934%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 14:49 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.71I 26.95%NM 24.99%EV -4.15%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -8.60%E -4.55%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 25.97%EV -7.88%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 18:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.63%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.63%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.63%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.67%E -3.45%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 18:23 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.12%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.70%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.70%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -8.12%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -3.24%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 18:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -8.12%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -3.24%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 18:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -9.08%E -4.83%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -14.85%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -14.85%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.28%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -5.21%E -2.66%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.28%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -5.21%E -2.66%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.28%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -5.21%E -2.66%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.28%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -5.21%E -2.66%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -4.25%E -2.15%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 14:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -8.60%E -4.55%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 18:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -10.98%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.50%E -6.28%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-02 18:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.85%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.08%EV -11.98%E -6.59%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -16.14%E -4.97%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.87%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 15:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -10.87%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.20%EV -6.67%E -3.45%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -10.98%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -10.87%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -10.87%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -10.87%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.12%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.17%EV -8.60%E -4.55%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -13.56%E -4.05%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.99%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.02%EV -11.02%E -5.99%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.99%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -13.45%E -4.01%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -9.08%E -4.83%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.45%E -4.01%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.12%EV -9.08%E -4.83%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.56%E -4.05%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.45%E -4.01%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.12%EV -9.08%E -4.83%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.56%E -4.05%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.23% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |