Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sint Truiden v Union Saint-Gilloise

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-02 18:30 UTC

Score final : Sint Truiden 0–3 Union Saint-Gilloise

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sint Truiden (Local)

Prévision 25.84%3.87cote équitable
EV +6.96%
Avantage +1.68%
Kelly +2.22%
Croissance +0.154%

avec la cote maximale 4.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.42%25.78%25.76%27.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.583.554.1429.85%27.90%28.17%24.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.36%2.07cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -2.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.93%48.42%48.43%50.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.821.921.912.0254.95%52.07%52.36%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.80%3.88cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -0.863%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.90%25.80%25.81%27.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.563.603.7530.77%28.10%27.78%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sint Truiden (Local) : 25.84% ; Union Saint-Gilloise (Visiteur) : 48.36% ; Match nul : 25.80%. Pour Sint Truiden (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.87. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.14, soit une espérance positive de +6.96%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯4.14I 24.15%NM 23.42%EV +6.96%E +1.68%K +2.22%G +0.154%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.07%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 18:20
Pinnacle🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.66%EV +1.28%E +0.326%K +0.438%G +0.006%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.57%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -3.24%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV +0.761%E +0.195%K +0.262%G +0.002%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -9.57%E -5.12%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 18:20
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -1.82%E -0.480%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.77%EV -3.63%E -0.974%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.54%EV -4.25%E -2.15%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.70%EV -3.49%E -0.934%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 14:49
LowVig.ag🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.77%EV -3.63%E -0.974%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.54%EV -4.25%E -2.15%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.70%EV -3.49%E -0.934%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 14:50
BetAnything🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.77%EV -3.63%E -0.974%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.54%EV -4.25%E -2.15%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.70%EV -3.49%E -0.934%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 14:49
Suprabets🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 24.99%EV -4.15%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -8.60%E -4.55%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.97%EV -7.88%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 18:24
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.63%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.63%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.63%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 18:25
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:15
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.67%E -3.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 18:23
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.12%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 18:15
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.70%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 18:15
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.70%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 18:10
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -8.12%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -3.24%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:24
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -8.12%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -3.24%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:23
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -9.08%E -4.83%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 18:15
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -14.85%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -6.99%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -14.85%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 18:20
Casumo🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.28%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -5.21%E -2.66%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.28%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -5.21%E -2.66%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.28%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -5.21%E -2.66%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 18:25
betPARX🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.28%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -5.21%E -2.66%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 15:20
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -4.25%E -2.15%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 09:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 14:44
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:25
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -8.60%E -4.55%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 18:09
NetBet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -10.98%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 18:25
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.50%E -6.28%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-02 18:24
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.85%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 18:25
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.08%EV -11.98%E -6.59%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -16.14%E -4.97%K -7.17%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-02 18:25
theScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -10.87%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 15:20
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -10.87%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.20%EV -6.67%E -3.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -10.98%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -10.87%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 18:25
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -10.87%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 18:25
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -10.87%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 18:25
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.12%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.17%EV -8.60%E -4.55%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -13.56%E -4.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.99%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.02%EV -11.02%E -5.99%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.99%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-02 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -13.45%E -4.01%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -9.08%E -4.83%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.45%E -4.01%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.12%EV -9.08%E -4.83%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.56%E -4.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.45%E -4.01%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.12%EV -9.08%E -4.83%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.56%E -4.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 18:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.23%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%0.6%2026-09-02 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-09-02 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-02 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-02 18:25
Smarkets◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-09-02 18:25
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-09-02 18:00