L’École des cotes

Sint Truiden v Union Saint-Gilloise

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 18:45 UTC

Score final : Sint Truiden 2–1 Union Saint-Gilloise

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sint Truiden (Local)

Prévision 24.38%4.10cote équitable
EV +4.09%
Avantage +0.958%
Kelly +1.25%
Croissance +0.051%

avec la cote maximale 4.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.37%24.49%24.36%26.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.823.804.2728.99%26.20%26.32%23.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.42%2.11cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -2.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.65%47.28%47.41%49.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.961.952.0557.80%51.15%51.28%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.20%3.55cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -0.952%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.40%28.23%28.22%29.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.303.4334.72%30.65%30.30%29.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.27I 23.42%NM 22.72%EV +4.09%E +0.958%K +1.25%G +0.051%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.00%EV -6.11%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.28%EV -3.27%E -0.952%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 18:40
Pinnacle4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV +3.60%E +0.848%K +1.11%G +0.040%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -6.09%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 18:35
Suprabets4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -0.054%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%EV -6.58%E -3.34%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 18:32
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -2.49%E -0.623%K -0.830%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.64%EV -4.21%E -2.08%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 18:25
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -2.49%E -0.623%K -0.830%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.64%EV -4.21%E -2.08%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 18:25
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.49%E -0.623%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 18:25
Marathon Bet3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -2.98%E -0.748%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.81%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -8.62%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 18:40
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -3.71%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 18:25
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -3.71%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 18:25
BetOnline.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.71%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -6.11%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 18:35
LowVig.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.71%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -6.11%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 18:35
DraftKings3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 18:35
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -7.06%E -3.60%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:25
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -7.06%E -3.60%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:25
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -7.06%E -3.60%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:25
Bovada3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -6.15%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 18:35
BetUS3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -6.15%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 18:40
BetAnything3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -6.15%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 18:35
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -6.15%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 18:25
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -6.15%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 18:25
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -6.15%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -8.00%E -4.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 18:25
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -6.15%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -8.00%E -4.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 18:25
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 18:35
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -6.11%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 18:35
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 18:25
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 18:40
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 18:40
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 18:40
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 18:40
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 18:35
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -11.32%E -6.06%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.19%EV -6.11%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:35
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:40
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:40
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:34
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:40
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.48%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 18:25
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.53%EV -10.38%E -5.49%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 18:25
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.53%EV -10.38%E -5.49%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 18:25
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -15.39%E -5.13%K -7.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 18:35
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.39%EV -12.27%E -6.63%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -15.39%E -5.13%K -7.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-02 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -17.96%E -10.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -18.78%E -6.52%K -9.99%G +0.000%19.2%2026-05-02 18:40
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.94%EV -8.00%E -4.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 18:05
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -11.32%E -6.06%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 18:35
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -11.02%E -3.02%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 18:40
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -11.02%E -3.02%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 18:40
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 18:05
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 18:40
Betclic (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.15%EV -6.58%E -3.34%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.59%EV -10.32%E -3.24%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 18:16
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -6.11%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 18:40
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -13.46%E -3.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:05
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -15.90%E -4.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -7.06%E -3.60%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 18:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-02 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62%1.3%2026-05-02 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62%1.3%2026-05-02 18:35
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%1.7%2026-05-02 18:40
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-05-02 18:15
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.2%2026-05-02 18:35