La escuela de los momiosSint Truiden v Union Saint-Gilloise
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sint Truiden (Local)
Predicción 24.38%4.10momio equitativo
EV +4.09%
Ventaja +0.958%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.051%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.37%24.49%24.36%26.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.823.804.2728.99%26.20%26.32%23.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Union Saint-Gilloise (Visitante)
Predicción 47.42%2.11momio equitativo
EV -2.79%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -2.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.65%47.28%47.41%49.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.961.952.0557.80%51.15%51.28%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.20%3.55momio equitativo
EV -3.27%
Ventaja -0.952%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.40%28.23%28.22%29.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.303.4334.72%30.65%30.30%29.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.72%EV +4.09%E +0.958%K +1.25%G +0.051% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.00%EV -6.11%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.28%EV -3.27%E -0.952%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Pinnacle | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV +3.60%E +0.848%K +1.11%G +0.040% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -6.09%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| Suprabets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -0.054%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%EV -6.58%E -3.34%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 18:32 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -2.49%E -0.623%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.64%EV -4.21%E -2.08%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -2.49%E -0.623%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.64%EV -4.21%E -2.08%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 18:25 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.49%E -0.623%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -2.98%E -0.748%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.81%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -8.62%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -3.71%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -3.71%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.71%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -6.11%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.71%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -6.11%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| DraftKings | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| LeoVegas | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -7.06%E -3.60%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 18:25 |
| Casumo | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -7.06%E -3.60%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 18:25 |
| betPARX | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -7.06%E -3.60%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 18:25 |
| Bovada | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -6.15%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| BetUS | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -6.15%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| BetAnything | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -6.15%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| Unibet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -6.15%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 18:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -6.15%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 18:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -6.15%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -8.00%E -4.13%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -6.15%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -8.00%E -4.13%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 18:25 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -6.11%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| theScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -8.48%E -4.39%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 18:25 |
| 888sport | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| William Hill | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| BoyleSports | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -11.32%E -6.06%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.19%EV -6.11%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 18:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.48%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.53%EV -10.38%E -5.49%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.53%EV -10.38%E -5.49%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 18:25 |
| Sky Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -15.39%E -5.13%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| SportsBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.39%EV -12.27%E -6.63%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -15.39%E -5.13%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -17.96%E -10.38%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -18.78%E -6.52%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.94%EV -8.00%E -4.13%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -11.32%E -6.06%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| Betsson | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -11.02%E -3.02%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -11.02%E -3.02%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| betfred_uk | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.15%EV -6.58%E -3.34%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.59%EV -10.32%E -3.24%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 18:16 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -6.11%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -13.46%E -3.79%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -15.90%E -4.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -7.06%E -3.60%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92% | 1.7% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Kalshi | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| Smarkets | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.95% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77% | 2.2% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |