Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sint Truiden v Club Brugge

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 18:45 UTC

Final: Sint Truiden 1–2 Club Brugge

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sint Truiden (Local)

Prediction 24.96%4.01fair odd
EV +3.09%
Edge +0.749%
Kelly +0.989%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 4.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.49%24.98%24.96%26.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.733.754.1329.41%26.84%26.67%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Club Brugge (Visit)

Prediction 51.73%1.93fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.87%51.69%51.72%52.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.791.801.8759.88%55.85%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.31%4.29fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.499%
Kelly -0.656%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.33%23.33%23.31%25.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.933.954.2030.77%25.47%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sint Truiden (Local): 24.96%; Club Brugge (Visit): 51.73%; Draw: 23.31%. For Sint Truiden (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.13I 24.21%NM 23.49%EV +3.09%E +0.749%K +0.989%G +0.031%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.73%EV -4.82%E -2.62%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.78%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%EV -1.40%E -0.354%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.83%EV -3.27%E -1.75%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -4.43%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%EV -1.40%E -0.354%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.83%EV -3.27%E -1.75%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -4.43%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 18:40
BetRivers🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.65%E -0.679%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.09%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 18:05
Pinnacle🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 24.96%EV -3.40%E -0.877%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.93%EV -3.79%E -2.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.11%EV -2.56%E -0.613%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.74%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.74%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.41%E -4.14%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -7.23%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 18:30
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.43%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 17:45
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -4.30%E -2.33%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 12:49
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -4.30%E -2.33%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 12:50
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -6.37%E -3.52%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 18:40
LeoVegas🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -6.37%E -3.52%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 18:40
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -6.37%E -3.52%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 18:40
theScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -8.44%E -4.77%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.10%E -0.499%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 17:50
Bet Victor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 18:39
BetAnything🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 18:39
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.97%EV -7.41%E -4.14%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.93%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:39
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.97%EV -7.41%E -4.14%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.93%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:40
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.97%EV -7.41%E -4.14%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.93%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:40
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.48%E -5.42%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:40
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.48%E -5.42%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.48%E -5.42%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.48%E -5.42%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:40
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.43%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -5.86%E -3.22%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -9.09%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -9.09%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 12:50
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 17:49
BetUS🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -9.09%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -7.92%E -4.45%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.09%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.43%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 17:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.48%E -5.42%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -9.09%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -8.96%E -5.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -10.26%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:40
Suprabets🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.37%EV -8.14%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.29%EV -5.86%E -3.22%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 18:31
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -8.89%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -5.86%E -3.22%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -4.43%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 18:30
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -8.89%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -5.86%E -3.22%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -4.43%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.89%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -8.96%E -5.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.43%EV -9.56%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 18:18
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -8.89%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.69%EV -9.99%E -5.74%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -8.89%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.69%EV -9.99%E -5.74%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.83%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -10.26%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.83%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -10.26%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 18:30
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.48%E -5.42%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.38%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -8.96%E -5.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 17:45
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.38%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.33%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.59%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 18:30
NetBet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -11.38%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.77%EV -11.55%E -6.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 18:35
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.48%E -5.42%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.59%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 18:34
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.81%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.07%EV -12.06%E -7.10%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -16.08%E -4.47%K -6.19%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 18:34
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.13%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -9.48%E -5.42%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -15.13%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -11.03%E -6.41%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 17:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 24.50%EV -15.13%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 49.87%EV -13.61%E -8.15%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.63%EV -24.24%E -7.46%K -10.77%G +0.000%20.1%2026-04-11 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%1.7%2026-04-11 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%1.7%2026-04-11 18:40
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%1.7%2026-04-11 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%2.0%2026-04-11 18:30
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.97%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%2.0%2026-04-11 18:35
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.2%2026-04-11 18:35