La escuela de los momios

Sint Truiden v Club Brugge

Inicio: 2026-04-11 18:45 UTC

Final: Sint Truiden 1–2 Club Brugge

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sint Truiden (Local)

Predicción 24.96%4.01momio equitativo
EV +3.09%
Ventaja +0.749%
Kelly +0.989%
Crecimiento +0.031%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.49%24.98%24.96%26.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.733.754.1329.41%26.84%26.67%24.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Club Brugge (Visitante)

Predicción 51.73%1.93momio equitativo
EV -3.27%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -3.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.87%51.69%51.72%52.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.791.801.8759.88%55.85%55.56%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.31%4.29momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -0.499%
Kelly -0.656%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.33%23.33%23.31%25.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.933.954.2030.77%25.47%25.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet4.13I 24.21%NM 23.49%EV +3.09%E +0.749%K +0.989%G +0.031%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.73%EV -4.82%E -2.62%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.78%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 18:40
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%EV -1.40%E -0.354%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.83%EV -3.27%E -1.75%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -4.43%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 18:40
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%EV -1.40%E -0.354%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.83%EV -3.27%E -1.75%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -4.43%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 18:40
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.65%E -0.679%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.09%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 18:05
Pinnacle3.87I 25.84%NM 24.96%EV -3.40%E -0.877%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.93%EV -3.79%E -2.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.11%EV -2.56%E -0.613%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 18:40
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.74%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 18:40
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.74%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 18:40
Marathon Bet3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.41%E -4.14%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -7.23%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 18:30
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.43%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 17:45
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -4.30%E -2.33%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 12:49
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -4.30%E -2.33%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 12:50
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -6.37%E -3.52%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 18:40
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -6.37%E -3.52%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 18:40
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -6.37%E -3.52%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 18:40
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -8.44%E -4.77%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.10%E -0.499%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 17:50
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 18:39
BetAnything3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 18:39
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.97%EV -7.41%E -4.14%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.93%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:39
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.97%EV -7.41%E -4.14%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.93%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:40
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.97%EV -7.41%E -4.14%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.93%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:40
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.48%E -5.42%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:40
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.48%E -5.42%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:39
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.48%E -5.42%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:40
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.48%E -5.42%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:40
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.43%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 18:40
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -5.86%E -3.22%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -9.09%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -9.09%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 12:50
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 17:49
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -9.09%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -7.92%E -4.45%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.09%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 18:39
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.43%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 17:49
PointsBet (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 17:49
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.48%E -5.42%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -9.09%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:20
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -8.96%E -5.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -10.26%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:40
Suprabets3.68I 27.17%NM 25.37%EV -8.14%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.29%EV -5.86%E -3.22%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 18:31
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -8.89%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -5.86%E -3.22%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -4.43%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 18:30
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -8.89%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -5.86%E -3.22%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -4.43%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 18:30
Betclic (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.89%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -8.96%E -5.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.43%EV -9.56%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 18:18
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -8.89%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.69%EV -9.99%E -5.74%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 18:40
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -8.89%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.69%EV -9.99%E -5.74%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 18:40
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.83%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -10.26%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 18:30
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.83%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -10.26%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 18:30
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.48%E -5.42%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 18:35
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.38%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -8.96%E -5.09%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.76%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 17:45
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.38%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.33%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.59%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 18:30
NetBet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -11.38%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.77%EV -11.55%E -6.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 18:35
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.48%E -5.42%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.59%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 18:34
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 24.81%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.07%EV -12.06%E -7.10%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -16.08%E -4.47%K -6.19%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 18:34
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.13%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -9.48%E -5.42%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 18:30
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -15.13%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -11.03%E -6.41%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -11.42%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 17:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.50%EV -15.13%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 49.87%EV -13.61%E -8.15%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.63%EV -24.24%E -7.46%K -10.77%G +0.000%20.1%2026-04-11 18:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%1.7%2026-04-11 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%1.7%2026-04-11 18:40
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%1.7%2026-04-11 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%2.0%2026-04-11 18:30
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.97%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%2.0%2026-04-11 18:35
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.2%2026-04-11 18:35