L’École des cotes

Royal Antwerp v Standard Liege

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 14:00 UTC

Score final : Royal Antwerp 0–5 Standard Liege

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Royal Antwerp (Local)

Prévision 48.64%2.06cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -2.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.07%48.63%48.72%50.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.62%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Standard Liege (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.00%4.00cote équitable
EV +2.51%
Avantage +0.612%
Kelly +0.809%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.25%24.93%24.92%26.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.763.704.1030.30%26.56%27.03%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.36%3.79cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -0.666%
Kelly -0.913%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.83%26.44%26.37%28.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.483.503.7034.72%28.72%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.01%EV -6.13%E -3.18%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54%EV +2.51%E +0.612%K +0.809%G +0.020%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.44%EV -3.78%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 13:55
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.01%EV -6.13%E -3.18%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54%EV +2.51%E +0.612%K +0.809%G +0.020%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.44%EV -3.78%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.26%EV -4.67%E -2.38%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.84%EV +1.26%E +0.311%K +0.413%G +0.005%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.90%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 13:45
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.54%EV -4.67%E -2.38%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.21%EV +0.258%E +0.064%K +0.086%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%EV -2.47%E -0.666%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 13:55
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 13:55
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 13:55
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 13:45
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -8.56%E -4.55%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:55
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -8.56%E -4.55%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:55
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -8.56%E -4.55%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:55
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -10.02%E -5.42%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 13:46
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.55%EV -10.51%E -5.71%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 13:50
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.08%EV -10.02%E -5.42%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -1.24%E -0.314%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 13:55
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.08%EV -10.02%E -5.42%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -1.24%E -0.314%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.01%EV -10.99%E -6.01%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.06%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 13:55
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -8.08%E -4.27%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -2.99%E -0.771%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 13:45
Suprabets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.13%E -3.18%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.20%EV -3.49%E -0.905%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.40%EV -10.11%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:39
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -3.74%E -0.972%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 13:35
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -11.48%E -6.31%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -3.74%E -0.972%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.06%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 13:55
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.16%E -2.64%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 13:45
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:35
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 13:54
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 49.78%EV -11.97%E -6.61%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 13:54
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 49.78%EV -11.97%E -6.61%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 13:55
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.59%E -3.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 13:35
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.59%E -3.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 13:35
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -2.73%E -1.36%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -9.06%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 13:45
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.16%E -2.64%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.16%E -2.64%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:45
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.16%E -2.64%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:43
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -5.64%E -2.91%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:45
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -3.70%E -1.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -9.06%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 13:46
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -3.70%E -1.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -9.06%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 13:45
BetAnything1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -3.70%E -1.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -9.06%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 13:46
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.16%E -2.64%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 13:55
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.59%E -3.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 13:35
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:55
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:55
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -10.02%E -5.42%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 13:30
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -3.70%E -1.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:55
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -3.70%E -1.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:55
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.59%E -3.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 13:35
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.05%E -4.84%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 13:55
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.05%E -4.84%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 13:36
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.02%E -5.42%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 13:30
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.78%EV -11.97%E -6.61%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.87%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.35%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 13:55
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.05%E -4.84%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 13:30
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -6.13%E -3.18%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 13:55
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -12.45%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-03 13:30
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -6.62%E -3.45%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -13.74%E -3.98%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -9.53%E -5.13%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -17.49%E -5.30%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.07%EV -12.45%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.13%EV -17.49%E -5.30%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.80%EV -24.08%E -8.36%K -12.81%G +0.000%20.6%2026-05-03 13:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%0.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.50%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-05-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-05-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-05-03 13:55
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.42%2.3%2026-05-03 13:50