La escuela de los momiosRoyal Antwerp v Standard Liege
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Royal Antwerp (Local)
Predicción 48.64%2.06momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -2.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.07%48.63%48.72%50.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.62%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Standard Liege (Visitante)
Predicción 25.00%4.00momio equitativo
EV +2.51%
Ventaja +0.612%
Kelly +0.809%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.25%24.93%24.92%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.763.704.1030.30%26.56%27.03%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.36%3.79momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -0.666%
Kelly -0.913%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.83%26.44%26.37%28.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.483.503.7034.72%28.72%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.01%EV -6.13%E -3.18%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54%EV +2.51%E +0.612%K +0.809%G +0.020% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.44%EV -3.78%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.01%EV -6.13%E -3.18%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54%EV +2.51%E +0.612%K +0.809%G +0.020% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.44%EV -3.78%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.26%EV -4.67%E -2.38%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.84%EV +1.26%E +0.311%K +0.413%G +0.005% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.90%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-03 13:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.54%EV -4.67%E -2.38%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.21%EV +0.258%E +0.064%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%EV -2.47%E -0.666%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 13:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -8.56%E -4.55%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -8.56%E -4.55%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -8.56%E -4.55%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -10.02%E -5.42%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 13:46 |
| Unibet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.55%EV -10.51%E -5.71%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 13:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.08%EV -10.02%E -5.42%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -1.24%E -0.314%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.08%EV -10.02%E -5.42%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -1.24%E -0.314%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.01%EV -10.99%E -6.01%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.06%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -8.08%E -4.27%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -2.99%E -0.771%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 13:45 |
| Suprabets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.13%E -3.18%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.20%EV -3.49%E -0.905%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.40%EV -10.11%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 13:39 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -3.74%E -0.972%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 13:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -11.48%E -6.31%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -3.74%E -0.972%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.06%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.16%E -2.64%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 13:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 13:35 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 13:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.78%EV -11.97%E -6.61%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.78%EV -11.97%E -6.61%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.59%E -3.99%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 13:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.59%E -3.99%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 13:35 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -2.73%E -1.36%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -9.06%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 13:45 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.16%E -2.64%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.16%E -2.64%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 13:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.16%E -2.64%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 13:43 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -5.64%E -2.91%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -3.70%E -1.87%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -9.06%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 13:46 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -3.70%E -1.87%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -9.06%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 13:45 |
| BetAnything | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -3.70%E -1.87%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -9.06%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 13:46 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.16%E -2.64%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.59%E -3.99%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 13:35 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -10.02%E -5.42%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 13:30 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -3.70%E -1.87%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -3.70%E -1.87%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.59%E -3.99%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 13:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.05%E -4.84%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.05%E -4.84%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 13:36 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.02%E -5.42%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.78%EV -11.97%E -6.61%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.87%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.35%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.05%E -4.84%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 13:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -6.13%E -3.18%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -12.45%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-03 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -6.62%E -3.45%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -13.74%E -3.98%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -9.53%E -5.13%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -17.49%E -5.30%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.07%EV -12.45%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.13%EV -17.49%E -5.30%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.80%EV -24.08%E -8.36%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 20.6% | 2026-05-03 13:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.50% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.42% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 13:50 |