Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.41
assuming max odds 2.25
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Royal Antwerp (Local): 28.85%; Genk (Visit): 44.42%; Draw: 26.73%. For Genk (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.251. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.250, with an expected value of -0.055%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -1.63%E -0.479%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.56%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.08%EV -4.56%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.92%E -0.565%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -2.50%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.18%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.58%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 14:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.78%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.86%EV -0.055%E -0.024%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.78%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.86%EV -0.055%E -0.024%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 06:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 06:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 06:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 06:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.27%E -2.97%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -9.64%E -2.85%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 14:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.67%EV -7.61%E -3.66%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.17%EV -8.57%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 06:49 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.72%EV -8.05%E -3.89%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 06:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.50%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 05:13 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -2.28%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -10.44%E -3.12%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 12:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.57%EV -6.27%E -2.97%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.57%EV -6.27%E -2.97%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.57%EV -6.27%E -2.97%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 14:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 06:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 12:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 12:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 12:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.50%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 06:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 14:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 14:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -4.50%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 13:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -4.50%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 13:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 12:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -7.61%E -3.66%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 12:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -3.16%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -3.16%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -3.16%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -3.16%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 12:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 12:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 06:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -4.94%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -4.94%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -4.94%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -4.94%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 12:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 12:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -10.27%E -5.08%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -10.44%E -3.12%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-22 12:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-22 13:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 06:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -15.79%E -5.01%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.16%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.69%EV -11.60%E -5.83%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.50%EV -7.61%E -3.66%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -17.13%E -5.52%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.50%EV -7.61%E -3.66%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -17.13%E -5.52%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-22 06:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.99% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 45.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.00% | 0.1% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |