Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Royal Antwerp v Genk

Início: 2026-08-22 18:47 UTC

Final: Royal Antwerp 4–4 Genk

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Royal Antwerp (Local)

Previsão 28.85%3.47odd justa
EV -1.63%
Vantagem -0.479%
Kelly -0.678%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.55%28.81%28.84%29.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.203.203.4133.33%31.21%31.25%29.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Genk (Visitante)

Previsão 44.42%2.25odd justa
EV -0.055%
Vantagem -0.024%
Kelly -0.044%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.39%44.38%44.41%45.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.992.102.102.2550.25%47.54%47.62%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.73%3.74odd justa
EV -3.76%
Vantagem -1.04%
Kelly -1.45%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.77%26.80%26.74%28.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.413.413.6032.26%29.32%29.33%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Royal Antwerp (Local): 28.85%; Genk (Visitante): 44.42%; Empate: 26.73%. Para Genk (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.251. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.250, com valor esperado de -0.055%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -1.63%E -0.479%K -0.678%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.56%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.08%EV -4.56%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-22 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.92%E -0.565%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 14:25
1xBet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -2.50%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.18%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.58%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 14:29
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.78%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.86%EV -0.055%E -0.024%K -0.044%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.78%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.86%EV -0.055%E -0.024%K -0.044%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 18:50
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 06:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 06:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 06:19
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 12:30
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 06:19
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.27%E -2.97%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -9.64%E -2.85%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 14:24
Betclic (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.67%EV -7.61%E -3.66%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.17%EV -8.57%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 06:49
Suprabets🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.72%EV -8.05%E -3.89%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 06:20
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.50%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 05:13
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -2.28%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -10.44%E -3.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 12:19
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.57%EV -6.27%E -2.97%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 12:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.57%EV -6.27%E -2.97%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 12:55
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.57%EV -6.27%E -2.97%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 14:20
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 06:19
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 12:19
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 12:19
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 12:19
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.50%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 06:24
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 14:28
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 14:29
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -4.50%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 13:34
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -4.50%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 13:34
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 12:20
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -7.61%E -3.66%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 12:19
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -3.16%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -3.16%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 18:50
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -3.16%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -3.16%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 12:20
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 12:19
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 06:25
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 14:20
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -4.94%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:50
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -4.94%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -4.94%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:50
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -4.94%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:50
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 12:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 12:19
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -10.27%E -5.08%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -10.44%E -3.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 14:55
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 12:20
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 13:29
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 06:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -15.79%E -5.01%K -7.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-21 18:50
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.16%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.69%EV -11.60%E -5.83%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.50%EV -7.61%E -3.66%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -17.13%E -5.52%K -8.16%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-21 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.50%EV -7.61%E -3.66%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -17.13%E -5.52%K -8.16%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-21 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 06:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.99%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.00%0.1%2026-08-22 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-08-22 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-08-22 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-08-22 14:55
Smarkets◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-08-22 14:55
Matchbook◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-08-22 14:55