Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

RAAL La Louvière v Royal Antwerp

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 19:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

RAAL La Louvière (Local)

Prediction 45.07%2.22fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.82%45.02%45.07%46.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.052.052.1652.36%48.70%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Royal Antwerp (Visit)

Prediction 25.55%3.91fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -0.695%
Kelly -0.943%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.88%25.62%25.57%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.613.653.8130.77%27.68%27.40%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.38%3.40fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -0.925%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.45%29.36%29.36%30.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.153.203.3036.36%31.72%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: RAAL La Louvière (Local): 45.07%; Royal Antwerp (Visit): 25.55%; Draw: 29.38%. For RAAL La Louvière (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.16, with an expected value of -2.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.93%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.47%EV -2.65%E -0.695%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.59%EV -3.64%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 19:40
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.91%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -3.93%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 19:40
Suprabets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.04%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.87%EV -8.05%E -2.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 18:11
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -4.18%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -3.05%E -0.925%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -4.18%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -3.05%E -0.925%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.05%E -0.925%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.05%E -0.925%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 19:00
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.925%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 17:14
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 19:40
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 19:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 17:55
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 19:00
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 19:00
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -6.25%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:40
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.37%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:00
LeoVegas🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.37%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:00
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.37%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -4.95%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -8.34%E -2.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 19:39
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.49%EV -7.15%E -3.47%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:00
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 19:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:40
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.18%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 19:40
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 19:00
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 19:00
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 18:40
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 19:35
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 19:40
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.13%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 17:54
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-06 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -8.96%E -4.43%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 06:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 06:20
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 06:20
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-06 19:25
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -11.85%E -3.43%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-06 17:55
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-06 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.55%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.05%EV -12.61%E -3.69%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.40%EV -10.99%E -3.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-06 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -16.96%E -5.22%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-06 17:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -10.76%E -5.43%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-06 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -10.76%E -5.43%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-06 19:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.17%EV -12.11%E -6.21%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.66%EV -12.75%E -4.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-06 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.39%EV -12.11%E -6.21%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -13.13%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.16%EV -15.69%E -5.47%K -8.39%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-06 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 43.82%EV -13.91%E -7.29%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.75%EV -16.96%E -5.22%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.43%EV -19.21%E -6.99%K -10.98%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-06 19:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-06 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-06 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-06 19:25
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-06 19:30
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.1%2026-03-06 19:40