La escuela de los momios

RAAL La Louvière v Royal Antwerp

Inicio: 2026-03-06 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

RAAL La Louvière (Local)

Predicción 45.07%2.22momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -2.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.82%45.02%45.07%46.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.052.052.1652.36%48.70%48.78%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Royal Antwerp (Visitante)

Predicción 25.55%3.91momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -0.695%
Kelly -0.943%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.88%25.62%25.57%27.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.613.653.8130.77%27.68%27.40%26.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.38%3.40momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -0.925%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.45%29.36%29.36%30.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.153.203.3036.36%31.72%31.25%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.93%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.47%EV -2.65%E -0.695%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.59%EV -3.64%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 19:40
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.91%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -3.93%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 19:40
Suprabets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.04%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.87%EV -8.05%E -2.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 18:11
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -4.18%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -3.05%E -0.925%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 15:25
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -4.18%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -3.05%E -0.925%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 19:00
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.05%E -0.925%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.05%E -0.925%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 19:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.925%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 17:14
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 19:40
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 19:38
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 12:55
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 17:55
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 19:00
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 19:00
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -6.25%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:40
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 45.37%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:00
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 45.37%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:00
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 45.37%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -4.95%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -8.34%E -2.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 19:39
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.49%EV -7.15%E -3.47%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:00
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 19:05
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:35
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:40
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.46%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.18%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 19:40
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 19:00
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 19:00
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 19:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 18:40
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 19:35
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 19:40
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 19:40
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.13%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 17:54
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-06 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -8.96%E -4.43%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 19:00
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 06:20
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 06:20
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.74%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 06:20
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.02%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-06 19:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -11.85%E -3.43%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-06 17:55
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-06 19:25
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.55%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.05%EV -12.61%E -3.69%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.40%EV -10.99%E -3.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-06 19:15
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -16.96%E -5.22%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-06 17:54
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -10.76%E -5.43%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-06 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -10.76%E -5.43%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-06 19:00
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.17%EV -12.11%E -6.21%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -10.57%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.66%EV -12.75%E -4.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-06 19:40
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.39%EV -12.11%E -6.21%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -13.13%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.16%EV -15.69%E -5.47%K -8.39%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-06 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.82%EV -13.91%E -7.29%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.75%EV -16.96%E -5.22%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.43%EV -19.21%E -6.99%K -10.98%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-06 19:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-06 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-06 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-06 19:25
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-06 19:30
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.1%2026-03-06 19:40