Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

RAAL La Louvière v Genk

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 17:32 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

RAAL La Louvière (Local)

Prediction 31.86%3.14fair odd
EV +5.12%
Edge +1.55%
Kelly +2.23%
Growth +0.114%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.00%31.74%31.92%33.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.992.953.3037.04%33.48%33.90%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Genk (Visit)

Prediction 41.69%2.40fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.58%41.78%41.57%45.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.182.202.3452.36%45.86%45.45%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.45%3.78fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.575%
Kelly -0.788%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.22%26.48%26.50%28.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.503.503.7034.72%28.59%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: RAAL La Louvière (Local): 31.86%; Genk (Visit): 41.69%; Draw: 26.45%. For RAAL La Louvière (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%EV +5.12%E +1.55%K +2.23%G +0.114%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.14%EV -11.61%E -5.48%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -2.13%E -0.575%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:29
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%EV +5.12%E +1.55%K +2.23%G +0.114%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.14%EV -11.61%E -5.48%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -2.13%E -0.575%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:29
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%EV +3.53%E +1.09%K +1.57%G +0.055%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.78%EV -11.61%E -5.48%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -3.45%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%EV +3.53%E +1.09%K +1.57%G +0.055%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.78%EV -11.61%E -5.48%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -3.45%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:29
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV +1.94%E +0.606%K +0.881%G +0.017%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -13.28%E -6.38%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -3.45%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 17:30
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV +1.94%E +0.606%K +0.881%G +0.017%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -13.28%E -6.38%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -3.45%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 17:30
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV +1.94%E +0.606%K +0.881%G +0.017%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -13.28%E -6.38%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -3.45%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 17:30
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV +1.94%E +0.606%K +0.881%G +0.017%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -13.28%E -6.38%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:21
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV +1.94%E +0.606%K +0.881%G +0.017%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -13.70%E -6.62%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV +1.94%E +0.606%K +0.881%G +0.017%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -13.70%E -6.62%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV +1.94%E +0.606%K +0.881%G +0.017%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -13.70%E -6.62%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV +0.346%E +0.110%K +0.161%G +0.001%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.95%E -7.33%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 17:30
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV -1.25%E -0.402%K -0.593%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.62%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -5.30%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 17:29
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -1.25%E -0.402%K -0.593%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.28%E -3.76%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -1.25%E -0.402%K -0.593%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -16.62%E -8.31%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -1.25%E -0.402%K -0.593%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -16.62%E -8.31%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 17:29
LowVig.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -1.88%E -0.612%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -2.44%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -1.88%E -0.612%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -2.44%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 17:29
Pinnacle🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 32.17%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.38%EV -2.44%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.45%EV -3.19%E -0.870%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 17:29
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.28%E -3.76%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.11%E -1.79%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 17:30
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:29
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:29
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:29
BetAnything🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:29
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.28%E -3.76%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.28%E -3.76%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.28%E -3.76%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -7.03%E -3.15%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.89%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:29
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.98%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -4.11%E -1.79%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:29
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.98%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -4.11%E -1.79%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Suprabets🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.14%EV -7.30%E -2.51%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -7.03%E -3.15%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.91%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:27
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.11%E -1.79%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 17:28
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 17:30
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 17:29
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 17:29
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 17:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 17:29
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -12.45%E -5.93%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 17:30
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -12.45%E -5.93%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 17:30
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.21%E -3.23%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -4.11%E -1.79%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:30
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -9.21%E -3.23%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.28%E -3.76%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 17:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 31.21%EV -10.17%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.52%EV -13.70%E -6.62%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-22 17:28
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.13%E -0.575%K -0.788%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.28%E -3.76%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -10.36%E -4.82%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 17:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -12.45%E -5.93%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-22 17:29
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -14.53%E -7.09%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-22 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 29.09%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 42.64%EV -20.37%E -10.66%K -22.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.28%EV -23.82%E -8.27%K -12.67%G +0.000%22.8%2026-03-22 17:30
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -12.40%E -4.51%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -10.36%E -4.82%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 17:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -13.99%E -5.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -12.45%E -5.93%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-22 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.9%2026-03-22 17:30
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-03-22 17:30
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.89%3.3%2026-03-22 17:30