La escuela de los momios

RAAL La Louvière v Genk

Inicio: 2026-03-22 17:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

RAAL La Louvière (Local)

Predicción 31.86%3.14momio equitativo
EV +5.12%
Ventaja +1.55%
Kelly +2.23%
Crecimiento +0.114%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.00%31.74%31.92%33.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.992.953.3037.04%33.48%33.90%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Genk (Visitante)

Predicción 41.69%2.40momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.58%41.78%41.57%45.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.182.202.3452.36%45.86%45.45%42.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.45%3.78momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -0.575%
Kelly -0.788%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.22%26.48%26.50%28.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.503.503.7034.72%28.59%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%EV +5.12%E +1.55%K +2.23%G +0.114%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.14%EV -11.61%E -5.48%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -2.13%E -0.575%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:29
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%EV +5.12%E +1.55%K +2.23%G +0.114%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.14%EV -11.61%E -5.48%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -2.13%E -0.575%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:29
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%EV +3.53%E +1.09%K +1.57%G +0.055%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.78%EV -11.61%E -5.48%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -3.45%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:30
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%EV +3.53%E +1.09%K +1.57%G +0.055%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.78%EV -11.61%E -5.48%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -3.45%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:29
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV +1.94%E +0.606%K +0.881%G +0.017%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -13.28%E -6.38%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -3.45%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 17:30
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV +1.94%E +0.606%K +0.881%G +0.017%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -13.28%E -6.38%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -3.45%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 17:30
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV +1.94%E +0.606%K +0.881%G +0.017%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -13.28%E -6.38%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -3.45%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 17:30
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV +1.94%E +0.606%K +0.881%G +0.017%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -13.28%E -6.38%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:21
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV +1.94%E +0.606%K +0.881%G +0.017%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -13.70%E -6.62%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV +1.94%E +0.606%K +0.881%G +0.017%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -13.70%E -6.62%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV +1.94%E +0.606%K +0.881%G +0.017%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -13.70%E -6.62%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV +0.346%E +0.110%K +0.161%G +0.001%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.95%E -7.33%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 17:30
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV -1.25%E -0.402%K -0.593%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.62%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -5.30%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 17:29
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -1.25%E -0.402%K -0.593%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.28%E -3.76%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:30
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -1.25%E -0.402%K -0.593%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -16.62%E -8.31%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 17:30
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -1.25%E -0.402%K -0.593%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -16.62%E -8.31%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 17:29
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -1.88%E -0.612%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -2.44%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 17:30
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -1.88%E -0.612%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -2.44%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 17:29
Pinnacle3.01I 33.22%NM 32.17%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.38%EV -2.44%E -1.04%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.45%EV -3.19%E -0.870%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 17:29
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.28%E -3.76%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 17:30
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.11%E -1.79%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 17:30
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:29
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:29
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:29
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:29
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.28%E -3.76%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:29
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.28%E -3.76%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:29
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.28%E -3.76%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:29
Marathon Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -7.03%E -3.15%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.89%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:29
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.98%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -4.11%E -1.79%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:29
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.98%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -4.11%E -1.79%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Suprabets2.91I 34.36%NM 32.14%EV -7.30%E -2.51%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -7.03%E -3.15%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.91%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:27
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.11%E -1.79%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 17:28
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 17:30
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 17:29
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 17:29
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 17:30
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 17:29
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 17:29
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -12.45%E -5.93%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 17:30
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -12.45%E -5.93%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 17:30
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.21%E -3.23%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -4.11%E -1.79%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:30
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -9.21%E -3.23%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.28%E -3.76%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 17:30
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 31.21%EV -10.17%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.52%EV -13.70%E -6.62%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-22 17:28
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.13%E -0.575%K -0.788%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.28%E -3.76%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 17:30
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -10.36%E -4.82%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 17:29
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -12.45%E -5.93%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-22 17:29
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -14.53%E -7.09%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-22 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.09%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 42.64%EV -20.37%E -10.66%K -22.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.28%EV -23.82%E -8.27%K -12.67%G +0.000%22.8%2026-03-22 17:30
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -12.40%E -4.51%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -10.36%E -4.82%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 17:29
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -13.99%E -5.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -12.45%E -5.93%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-22 17:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.9%2026-03-22 17:30
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-03-22 17:30
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.89%3.3%2026-03-22 17:30