Language:English
Lommel SK v KV Mechelen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lommel SK (Local)
Prediction 35.85%2.79fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.516%
Kelly -0.810%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.53%35.93%35.65%37.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.582.552.7541.67%38.78%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
KV Mechelen (Visit)
Prediction 37.73%2.65fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.727%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.46%37.70%37.79%38.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.462.6043.48%40.63%40.65%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.42%3.79fair odd
EV -0.934%
Edge -0.249%
Kelly -0.340%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.85%26.37%26.57%27.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.463.453.7530.77%28.87%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lommel SK (Local): 35.85%; KV Mechelen (Visit): 37.73%; Draw: 26.42%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -0.934%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.92%EV -1.42%E -0.516%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.11%EV -4.91%E -1.95%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.97%EV -5.95%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.58%EV -2.49%E -0.917%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.26%EV -4.53%E -1.79%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.16%EV -2.25%E -0.609%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-19 18:38 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.73%EV -3.21%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.10%EV -1.89%E -0.727%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.17%EV -6.22%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.73%EV -3.21%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.10%EV -1.89%E -0.727%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.17%EV -6.22%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.21%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.46%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.34%EV -7.17%E -2.92%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.46%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.34%EV -7.17%E -2.92%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.46%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.34%EV -7.17%E -2.92%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.22%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -5.72%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -5.72%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -5.72%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -5.72%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.35%EV -5.72%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.94%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.71%EV -8.07%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 18:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -6.80%E -2.61%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -1.89%E -0.727%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 17:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.80%E -2.61%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -1.89%E -0.727%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-19 17:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.80%E -2.61%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.80%E -2.61%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.10%EV -8.31%E -3.42%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.30%EV -7.01%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-19 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 17:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.25%E -0.609%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 21:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -8.31%E -3.42%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -8.31%E -3.42%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -8.31%E -3.42%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -13.21%E -5.74%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-19 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.31%EV -9.30%E -3.68%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.02%EV -11.32%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.67%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-19 18:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 18:26 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 18:26 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 18:27 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 18:27 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-19 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -11.32%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-19 18:26 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -10.19%E -4.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-19 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -12.17%E -4.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -13.21%E -5.74%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -13.96%E -5.82%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -13.21%E -5.74%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -0.934%E -0.249%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.19% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84% | 0.7% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-09-19 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.95% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.23% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81% | 2.2% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |