La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Nuevo modeloTodos los modelos

Lommel SK v KV Mechelen

Inicio: 2026-09-19 18:45 UTC

Final: Lommel SK 0–0 KV Mechelen

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Lommel SK (Local)

Predicción 35.85%2.79momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.516%
Kelly -0.810%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.53%35.93%35.65%37.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.582.552.7541.67%38.78%39.22%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

KV Mechelen (Visitante)

Predicción 37.73%2.65momio equitativo
EV -1.89%
Ventaja -0.727%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.46%37.70%37.79%38.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.462.462.6043.48%40.63%40.65%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 26.42%3.79momio equitativo
EV -0.934%
Ventaja -0.249%
Kelly -0.340%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.85%26.37%26.57%27.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.463.453.7530.77%28.87%28.99%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Lommel SK (Local): 35.85%; KV Mechelen (Visitante): 37.73%; Empate: 26.42%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.79. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.75, con un valor esperado de -0.934%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.92%EV -1.42%E -0.516%K -0.810%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.11%EV -4.91%E -1.95%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.97%EV -5.95%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 18:44
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.58%EV -2.49%E -0.917%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.26%EV -4.53%E -1.79%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.16%EV -2.25%E -0.609%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-19 18:38
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.73%EV -3.21%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.10%EV -1.89%E -0.727%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.17%EV -6.22%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 18:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.73%EV -3.21%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.10%EV -1.89%E -0.727%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.17%EV -6.22%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 18:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.21%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 18:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.46%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.34%EV -7.17%E -2.92%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.46%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.34%EV -7.17%E -2.92%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 18:44
BetAnything🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.46%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.34%EV -7.17%E -2.92%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 18:44
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.22%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 18:20
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 18:20
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 18:34
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -5.72%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 18:44
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -5.72%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 18:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -5.72%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 18:44
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -5.72%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.35%EV -5.72%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.94%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.71%EV -8.07%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 18:19
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -6.80%E -2.61%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -1.89%E -0.727%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.80%E -2.61%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -1.89%E -0.727%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 17:29
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.80%E -2.61%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:44
Suprabets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.80%E -2.61%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.10%EV -8.31%E -3.42%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.30%EV -7.01%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 18:35
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.25%E -0.609%K -0.835%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 14:02
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 21:25
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:44
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 14:01
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -6.42%E -2.59%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 14:02
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 18:34
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -8.31%E -3.42%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 18:44
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -8.31%E -3.42%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 18:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -8.31%E -3.42%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 18:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 18:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -13.21%E -5.74%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.31%EV -9.30%E -3.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.02%EV -11.32%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.67%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 18:19
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.66%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 18:44
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 14:02
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 18:26
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 18:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 18:27
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.55%E -3.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 18:27
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 18:19
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.44%E -3.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 18:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -11.32%E -4.82%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-19 18:26
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -10.19%E -4.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-19 18:35
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -12.17%E -4.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -13.21%E -5.74%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-19 18:34
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -13.96%E -5.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -13.21%E -5.74%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -0.934%E -0.249%K -0.340%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 18:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.19%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%0.7%2026-09-19 18:40
Matchbook◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.75%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-09-19 18:44
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-09-19 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-09-19 18:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-09-19 18:44
Smarkets◎2.80I 35.71%NM 34.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81%2.2%2026-09-19 18:44