Language:English
Lommel SK v Dender
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lommel SK (Local)
Prediction 42.56%2.35fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.63%42.58%42.55%43.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.192.202.2948.31%45.58%45.45%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dender (Visit)
Prediction 30.85%3.24fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.26%30.82%30.88%31.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.873.013.003.1334.84%33.21%33.33%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.59%3.76fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -0.736%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.06%26.60%26.57%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.483.503.6630.30%28.72%28.57%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lommel SK (Local): 42.56%; Dender (Visit): 30.85%; Draw: 26.59%. For Lommel SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.29, with an expected value of -2.54%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.23%EV -2.54%E -1.11%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.90%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -4.24%E -1.89%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 07:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.24%E -1.89%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 07:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.24%E -1.89%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 07:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -4.24%E -1.89%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 07:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.57%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.37%EV -6.20%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -2.69%E -0.736%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.09%E -2.28%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.96%EV -6.82%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 07:56 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.62%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 07:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.62%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.62%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 07:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 07:56 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.61%EV -6.80%E -3.10%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%EV -8.05%E -2.70%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -4.82%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 07:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.50%E -3.95%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.50%E -3.95%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.26%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 02:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.50%E -3.95%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.26%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 02:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.50%E -3.95%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.26%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 02:06 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.50%E -3.95%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.26%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 02:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.63%E -5.06%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.92%EV -11.90%E -5.75%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.95%EV -11.45%E -3.99%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-17 07:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.