La scuola delle quote

Lommel SK v Dender

Inizio: 2026-05-17 14:00 UTC

Finale: Lommel SK 3–2 Dender

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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22 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Lommel SK (Casa)

Previsione 42.56%2.35quota equa
EV -2.54%
Vantaggio -1.11%
Kelly -1.97%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.63%42.58%42.55%43.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.072.192.202.2948.31%45.58%45.45%43.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Dender (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.85%3.24quota equa
EV -3.42%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -1.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.26%30.82%30.88%31.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.873.013.003.1334.84%33.21%33.33%31.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.59%3.76quota equa
EV -2.69%
Vantaggio -0.736%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.06%26.60%26.57%27.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.483.503.6630.30%28.72%28.57%27.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.23%EV -2.54%E -1.11%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.90%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 08:00
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -4.24%E -1.89%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 07:54
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.24%E -1.89%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:51
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.24%E -1.89%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:54
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -4.24%E -1.89%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 07:55
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.57%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.37%EV -6.20%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -2.69%E -0.736%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 08:00
Suprabets2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.09%E -2.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.96%EV -6.82%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 07:56
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:25
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.62%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:58
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.62%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 08:00
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.62%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 08:00
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 07:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.37%E -2.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 07:56
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.61%EV -6.80%E -3.10%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%EV -8.05%E -2.70%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -4.82%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:55
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.50%E -3.95%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:00
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.50%E -3.95%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.26%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 02:10
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.50%E -3.95%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.26%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 02:05
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.50%E -3.95%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.26%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 02:06
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.50%E -3.95%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.26%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 02:05
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.63%E -5.06%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 17:10
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.92%EV -11.90%E -5.75%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.95%EV -11.45%E -3.99%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 07:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.