Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 10.50
assuming max odds 1.31
assuming max odds 6.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lommel SK (Local): 10.98%; Club Brugge (Visit): 73.21%; Draw: 15.81%. For Lommel SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.11. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.31%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.22%EV +15.31%E +1.46%K +1.61%G +0.247% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.65%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.13%EV +1.19%E +0.186%K +0.220%G +0.003% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 08:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.22%EV +15.31%E +1.46%K +1.61%G +0.247% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.65%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.13%EV +1.19%E +0.186%K +0.220%G +0.003% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV +9.81%E +0.981%K +1.09%G +0.107% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.04%EV -7.76%E -6.16%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.50%EV -3.56%E -0.583%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +9.81%E +0.981%K +1.09%G +0.107% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 08:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +9.81%E +0.981%K +1.09%G +0.107% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +9.81%E +0.981%K +1.09%G +0.107% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +9.81%E +0.981%K +1.09%G +0.107% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +4.32%E +0.455%K +0.509%G +0.022% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -17.79%E -3.42%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +4.32%E +0.455%K +0.509%G +0.022% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -17.79%E -3.42%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +4.32%E +0.455%K +0.509%G +0.022% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +4.32%E +0.455%K +0.509%G +0.022% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.24%EV +1.58%E +0.171%K +0.191%G +0.003% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60%EV -7.03%E -5.53%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -1.18%E -0.189%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 9.05I 11.05%NM 10.57%EV -0.618%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.55%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.88%EV -4.82%E -0.801%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -7.03%E -5.53%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -8.30%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.76%E -6.16%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.76%E -6.16%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.98%EV -7.76%E -6.16%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.67%EV -5.93%E -0.996%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -9.22%E -7.44%K -38.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -9.09%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.73%EV -9.95%E -8.09%K -43.28%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.46%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 08:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.73%EV -9.95%E -8.09%K -43.28%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.46%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.73%EV -9.95%E -8.09%K -43.28%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.46%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.89%EV -10.69%E -8.76%K -48.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.10%EV -11.46%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -12.15%E -10.13%K -60.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -12.15%E -10.13%K -60.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.70%EV -1.72%E -0.192%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.69%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.60%EV -2.92%E -0.476%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.67%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.13%EV -6.72%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.67%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.13%EV -6.72%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.67%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.13%EV -6.72%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -20.95%E -4.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.69%E -8.76%K -48.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.69%E -8.76%K -48.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.43%EV -11.05%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.88%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 04:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -12.15%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -12.15%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -12.15%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -12.15%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.69%E -8.76%K -48.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -12.15%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -12.15%E -10.13%K -60.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.26%EV -14.89%E -1.92%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.18%E -0.189%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.95%EV -14.89%E -1.92%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV -6.72%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 12:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.55%EV -14.89%E -1.92%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.18%EV -9.22%E -7.44%K -38.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -17.64%E -2.35%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -17.64%E -2.35%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -17.64%E -2.35%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -17.64%E -2.35%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-04 04:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.24%EV -19.84%E -2.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.50%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -23.13%E -3.30%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.60%EV -7.03%E -5.53%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.41%EV -6.72%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.26%EV -25.88%E -3.83%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.04%EV -7.76%E -6.16%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.70%EV -9.88%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.43% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.57% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.72% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.72% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.45% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.87% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.32% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.99% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.72% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |