Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lommel SK v Club Brugge

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-04 18:45 UTC

Score final : Lommel SK 0–1 Club Brugge

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lommel SK (Local)

Prévision 10.98%9.11cote équitable
EV +15.31%
Avantage +1.46%
Kelly +1.61%
Croissance +0.247%

avec la cote maximale 10.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.22%11.06%11.02%13.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.758.688.5010.5014.81%11.52%11.76%9.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Club Brugge (Visiteur)

Prévision 73.21%1.37cote équitable
EV -4.10%
Avantage -3.13%
Kelly -13.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.04%73.01%73.17%75.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.271.271.3183.33%79.03%79.05%76.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 15.81%6.32cote équitable
EV +1.19%
Avantage +0.186%
Kelly +0.220%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 6.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.13%15.93%15.81%18.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.805.906.4020.00%17.24%16.95%15.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Lommel SK (Local) : 10.98% ; Club Brugge (Visiteur) : 73.21% ; Match nul : 15.81%. Pour Lommel SK (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 9.11. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 10.50, soit une espérance positive de +15.31%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.22%EV +15.31%E +1.46%K +1.61%G +0.247%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.65%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.13%EV +1.19%E +0.186%K +0.220%G +0.003%3.3%2026-09-04 08:59
Svenska Spel🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.22%EV +15.31%E +1.46%K +1.61%G +0.247%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.65%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.13%EV +1.19%E +0.186%K +0.220%G +0.003%3.3%2026-09-04 09:00
Grosvenor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV +9.81%E +0.981%K +1.09%G +0.107%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.04%EV -7.76%E -6.16%K -29.84%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.50%EV -3.56%E -0.583%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 09:00
Casumo🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +9.81%E +0.981%K +1.09%G +0.107%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 08:59
Unibet (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +9.81%E +0.981%K +1.09%G +0.107%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +9.81%E +0.981%K +1.09%G +0.107%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 09:00
betPARX🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +9.81%E +0.981%K +1.09%G +0.107%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 09:00
NordicBet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +4.32%E +0.455%K +0.509%G +0.022%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -17.79%E -3.42%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:55
Betsson🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +4.32%E +0.455%K +0.509%G +0.022%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -17.79%E -3.42%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:55
betano_uk🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +4.32%E +0.455%K +0.509%G +0.022%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 13:54
Bet Victor🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +4.32%E +0.455%K +0.509%G +0.022%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.24%EV +1.58%E +0.171%K +0.191%G +0.003%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60%EV -7.03%E -5.53%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -1.18%E -0.189%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 09:25
1xBet🎯9.05I 11.05%NM 10.57%EV -0.618%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.55%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 15.88%EV -4.82%E -0.801%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 13:00
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -7.03%E -5.53%K -26.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -8.30%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 09:30
Coolbet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.76%E -6.16%K -29.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 09:30
theScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.76%E -6.16%K -29.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 09:24
Marathon Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.98%EV -7.76%E -6.16%K -29.84%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.67%EV -5.93%E -0.996%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 09:25
BetRivers🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -9.22%E -7.44%K -38.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -9.09%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 09:00
Unibet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.73%EV -9.95%E -8.09%K -43.28%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.46%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 08:59
PMU (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.73%EV -9.95%E -8.09%K -43.28%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.46%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 09:00
TABtouch🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.73%EV -9.95%E -8.09%K -43.28%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.46%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.89%EV -10.69%E -8.76%K -48.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.10%EV -11.46%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 09:00
Virgin Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -12.15%E -10.13%K -60.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -1.17%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -12.15%E -10.13%K -60.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 09:00
Pinnacle🎯8.95I 11.17%NM 10.70%EV -1.72%E -0.192%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.69%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.60%EV -2.92%E -0.476%K -0.569%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.67%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.13%EV -6.72%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:59
LowVig.ag🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.67%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.13%EV -6.72%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 09:00
BetAnything🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.67%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.13%EV -6.72%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:59
DraftKings🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:35
888sport🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:35
William Hill🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:35
betfred_uk🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 09:25
PlayUp🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -20.95%E -4.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Paddy Power🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.69%E -8.76%K -48.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -6.66%E -0.783%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.69%E -8.76%K -48.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 13:20
Suprabets🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.43%EV -11.05%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.88%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 04:11
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -12.15%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 12:55
Fanatics🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -12.15%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 06:05
BetUS🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -12.15%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:25
Sky Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -12.15%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.69%E -8.76%K -48.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 14:35
SportsBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -12.15%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -12.15%E -10.13%K -60.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-04 14:35
BetMGM🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.26%EV -14.89%E -1.92%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.18%E -0.189%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 09:30
Betclic (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.95%EV -14.89%E -1.92%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV -6.72%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 12:54
NetBet (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.55%EV -14.89%E -1.92%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.18%EV -9.22%E -7.44%K -38.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 12:55
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -17.64%E -2.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -17.64%E -2.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -17.64%E -2.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.14%E -0.856%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 09:30
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -17.64%E -2.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 04:00
Unibet (FR)🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.24%EV -19.84%E -2.72%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.50%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.04%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 12:55
Winamax (DE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -23.13%E -3.30%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.60%EV -7.03%E -5.53%K -26.02%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.41%EV -6.72%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.26%EV -25.88%E -3.83%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.04%EV -7.76%E -6.16%K -29.84%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.70%EV -9.88%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 12:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎10.50I 9.52%NM 9.43%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.57%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.4%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.4%2026-09-04 14:25
Kalshi◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.45%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%1.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.32%2.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎9.80I 10.20%NM 9.99%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29%2.2%2026-09-04 14:35