Language:English
Lommel SK v Charleroi
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lommel SK (Local)
Prediction 23.48%4.26fair odd
EV +2.84%
Edge +0.649%
Kelly +0.842%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 4.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.14%23.53%23.55%25.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.984.004.3828.57%25.12%25.00%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Charleroi (Visit)
Prediction 51.91%1.93fair odd
EV -5.00%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -6.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.65%51.85%51.86%53.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.781.791.8359.17%56.25%56.02%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.61%4.06fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.394%
Kelly -0.526%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.82%24.62%24.59%25.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.733.734.0028.57%26.82%26.85%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lommel SK (Local): 23.48%; Charleroi (Visit): 51.91%; Draw: 24.61%. For Lommel SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.14%EV +2.84%E +0.649%K +0.842%G +0.024% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.99%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%EV +0.966%E +0.225%K +0.293%G +0.003% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.61%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%EV +0.966%E +0.225%K +0.293%G +0.003% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.61%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -1.38%E -0.329%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.43%EV -6.04%E -3.33%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.19I 23.87%NM 23.06%EV -1.62%E -0.386%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.79%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV -1.58%E -0.394%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -1.58%E -0.394%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -8.11%E -4.58%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -8.11%E -4.58%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -8.11%E -4.58%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -8.11%E -4.58%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -7.07%E -3.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -7.07%E -3.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -7.07%E -3.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -7.07%E -3.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.73%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 17:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -7.59%E -4.27%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.34%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 16:57 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.75%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -6.04%E -3.33%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.73%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 16:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.65%E -3.56%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.65%E -3.56%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.65%E -3.56%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.79%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -12.65%E -3.56%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -8.11%E -4.58%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 16:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.05%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.59%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -13.88%E -3.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.05%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.59%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -13.88%E -3.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.73%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.80%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.73%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.30%EV -7.59%E -4.27%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -7.73%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 17:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.31%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.72%EV -12.27%E -7.26%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -13.88%E -3.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -13.12%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -17.82%E -5.09%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.16% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |