默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lommel SK v Charleroi

开赛时间: 2026-08-16 17:15 UTC

最终结果: Lommel SK 0–1 Charleroi

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lommel SK (主队)

预测 23.48%4.26公平赔率
EV +2.84%
优势 +0.649%
Kelly +0.842%
增长率 +0.024%

假设最高赔率为 4.38

博彩公司预测分布
22.14%23.53%23.55%25.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.984.004.3828.57%25.12%25.00%22.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

Charleroi (客队)

预测 51.91%1.93公平赔率
EV -5.00%
优势 -2.73%
Kelly -6.02%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布
49.65%51.85%51.86%53.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.691.781.791.8359.17%56.25%56.02%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.61%4.06公平赔率
EV -1.58%
优势 -0.394%
Kelly -0.526%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.82%24.62%24.59%25.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.733.734.0028.57%26.82%26.85%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Lommel SK (主队):23.48%;Charleroi (客队):51.91%;平局:24.61%。 对于“Lommel SK (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.26。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.38,对应+2.84%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯4.38I 22.83%NM 22.14%EV +2.84%E +0.649%K +0.842%G +0.024%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.99%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%EV +0.966%E +0.225%K +0.293%G +0.003%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.61%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 17:09
ATG (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%EV +0.966%E +0.225%K +0.293%G +0.003%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.61%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 17:09
Grosvenor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -1.38%E -0.329%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.43%EV -6.04%E -3.33%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:09
Pinnacle🎯4.19I 23.87%NM 23.06%EV -1.62%E -0.386%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.79%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV -1.58%E -0.394%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 17:00
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -1.58%E -0.394%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 17:00
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -8.11%E -4.58%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 17:09
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -8.11%E -4.58%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 17:10
BetUS🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -8.11%E -4.58%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 17:10
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -8.11%E -4.58%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 17:10
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:54
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:53
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -7.07%E -3.95%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 17:09
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -7.07%E -3.95%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 17:09
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -7.07%E -3.95%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 17:09
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -7.07%E -3.95%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 17:09
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.73%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:00
Suprabets🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -7.59%E -4.27%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.34%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 16:57
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 17:09
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 17:09
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 17:09
DraftKings🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.75%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -6.04%E -3.33%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.73%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.65%E -3.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 17:09
Unibet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.65%E -3.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 17:10
TABtouch🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.65%E -3.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 16:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.79%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -12.65%E -3.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 17:09
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -8.11%E -4.58%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 16:59
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.05%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.59%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -13.88%E -3.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 17:09
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.05%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.59%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -13.88%E -3.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 17:10
theScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.73%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 16:54
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.80%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 17:09
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.73%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.30%EV -7.59%E -4.27%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -7.73%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 17:00
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 16:54
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.31%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 51.72%EV -12.27%E -7.26%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -13.88%E -3.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-16 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -13.12%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 17:00
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -17.82%E -5.09%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 16:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-08-16 17:10
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-08-16 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-16 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-08-16 17:10
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-08-16 17:10