A Escola das Odds

Leuven v Royal Antwerp

Início: 2026-05-15 18:45 UTC

Final: Leuven 3–0 Royal Antwerp

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Leuven (Local)

Previsão 32.75%3.05odd justa
EV +1.51%
Vantagem +0.488%
Kelly +0.720%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.07%32.68%32.77%33.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.632.862.863.1038.02%34.99%34.97%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Royal Antwerp (Visitante)

Previsão 39.08%2.56odd justa
EV -0.737%
Vantagem -0.290%
Kelly -0.479%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.65%39.08%39.09%40.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.342.382.5447.62%42.68%42.02%39.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.17%3.55odd justa
EV -1.39%
Vantagem -0.397%
Kelly -0.556%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.38%28.24%28.14%29.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.253.263.5035.71%30.72%30.67%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 31.37%EV +1.51%E +0.488%K +0.720%G +0.011%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.85%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -1.39%E -0.397%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-15 18:05
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.37%EV +1.51%E +0.488%K +0.720%G +0.011%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.85%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -1.39%E -0.397%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-15 18:05
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -1.76%E -0.588%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -10.90%E -4.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:00
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -1.76%E -0.588%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -10.90%E -4.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:00
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -1.76%E -0.588%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -10.90%E -4.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:00
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -1.76%E -0.588%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -10.90%E -4.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 17:59
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.39%EV -2.75%E -0.924%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -8.94%E -3.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -8.15%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 18:40
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.40%E -1.15%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.89%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 18:10
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -3.40%E -1.15%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -12.07%E -5.36%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:05
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 33.13%EV -4.38%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.24%EV -1.13%E -0.446%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.62%EV -4.77%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-15 18:30
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -4.38%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 18:40
1xBet2.91I 34.36%NM 33.32%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.17%EV -0.737%E -0.290%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-15 18:40
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -7.38%E -3.11%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:10
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -7.38%E -3.11%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:10
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -12.07%E -5.36%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 18:05
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.55%EV -12.85%E -5.76%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:05
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.55%EV -12.85%E -5.76%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:05
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.55%EV -12.85%E -5.76%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:05
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -5.69%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 18:35
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -5.69%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -5.69%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -14.02%E -6.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:05
Suprabets2.87I 34.84%NM 32.59%EV -6.02%E -2.10%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.81%EV -5.82%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -7.87%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 18:37
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 32.82%EV -6.35%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -3.08%E -1.24%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:40
BetUS2.86I 34.97%NM 32.82%EV -6.35%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -3.08%E -1.24%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:40
BetAnything2.86I 34.97%NM 32.82%EV -6.35%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -3.08%E -1.24%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:40
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.68%E -2.34%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 18:20
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.68%E -2.34%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 18:34
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.68%E -2.34%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:35
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -6.68%E -2.34%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -14.81%E -6.79%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-15 18:05
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.38%EV -7.66%E -2.72%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -2.30%E -0.920%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 18:40
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 18:10
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 18:10
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:20
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 18:40
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 18:39
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 18:40
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 18:40
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.52%EV -15.59%E -7.22%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-15 18:05
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.52%EV -15.59%E -7.22%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-15 18:05
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -9.95%E -3.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -9.95%E -3.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -8.94%E -3.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 18:18
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.95%E -3.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:40
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.95%E -3.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:10
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.95%E -3.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-15 18:25
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.95%E -3.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-15 18:25
NetBet (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 32.68%EV -10.93%E -4.02%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.65%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-15 18:40
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -11.59%E -4.29%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -12.07%E -5.36%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-15 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.33%EV -13.88%E -5.28%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.24%EV -17.93%E -8.54%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.43%EV -21.11%E -7.54%K -11.73%G +0.000%21.4%2026-05-15 18:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.55%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.7%2026-05-15 18:40
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-05-15 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-05-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-05-15 18:25
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.32%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-05-15 18:25
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-05-15 18:20