L’École des cotes

Leuven v Royal Antwerp

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-15 18:45 UTC

Score final : Leuven 3–0 Royal Antwerp

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Leuven (Local)

Prévision 32.75%3.05cote équitable
EV +1.51%
Avantage +0.488%
Kelly +0.720%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.07%32.68%32.77%33.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.862.863.1038.02%34.99%34.97%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Royal Antwerp (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.08%2.56cote équitable
EV -0.737%
Avantage -0.290%
Kelly -0.479%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.65%39.08%39.09%40.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.342.382.5447.62%42.68%42.02%39.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.17%3.55cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.397%
Kelly -0.556%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.38%28.24%28.14%29.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.253.263.5035.71%30.72%30.67%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 31.37%EV +1.51%E +0.488%K +0.720%G +0.011%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.85%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -1.39%E -0.397%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-15 18:05
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.37%EV +1.51%E +0.488%K +0.720%G +0.011%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.85%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -1.39%E -0.397%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-15 18:05
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -1.76%E -0.588%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -10.90%E -4.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:00
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -1.76%E -0.588%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -10.90%E -4.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:00
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -1.76%E -0.588%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -10.90%E -4.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:00
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -1.76%E -0.588%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -10.90%E -4.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 17:59
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.39%EV -2.75%E -0.924%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -8.94%E -3.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -8.15%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 18:40
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.40%E -1.15%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.89%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 18:10
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -3.40%E -1.15%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -12.07%E -5.36%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:05
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 33.13%EV -4.38%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.24%EV -1.13%E -0.446%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.62%EV -4.77%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-15 18:30
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -4.38%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 18:40
1xBet2.91I 34.36%NM 33.32%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.17%EV -0.737%E -0.290%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-15 18:40
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -7.38%E -3.11%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:10
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -7.38%E -3.11%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:10
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -12.07%E -5.36%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 18:05
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.55%EV -12.85%E -5.76%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:05
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.55%EV -12.85%E -5.76%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:05
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.55%EV -12.85%E -5.76%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:05
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -5.69%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 18:35
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -5.69%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -5.69%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -14.02%E -6.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:05
Suprabets2.87I 34.84%NM 32.59%EV -6.02%E -2.10%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.81%EV -5.82%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -7.87%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 18:37
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 32.82%EV -6.35%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -3.08%E -1.24%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:40
BetUS2.86I 34.97%NM 32.82%EV -6.35%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -3.08%E -1.24%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:40
BetAnything2.86I 34.97%NM 32.82%EV -6.35%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -3.08%E -1.24%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:40
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.68%E -2.34%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 18:20
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.68%E -2.34%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 18:34
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.68%E -2.34%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:35
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -6.68%E -2.34%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -14.81%E -6.79%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-15 18:05
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.38%EV -7.66%E -2.72%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -2.30%E -0.920%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 18:40
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 18:10
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 18:10
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:40
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:20
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 18:40
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 18:39
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 18:40
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 18:40
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.52%EV -15.59%E -7.22%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-15 18:05
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.52%EV -15.59%E -7.22%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-15 18:05
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -9.95%E -3.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -9.95%E -3.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -8.94%E -3.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 18:18
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.95%E -3.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:40
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.95%E -3.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:10
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.95%E -3.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-15 18:25
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.95%E -3.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-15 18:25
NetBet (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 32.68%EV -10.93%E -4.02%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.65%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-15 18:40
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -11.59%E -4.29%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -12.07%E -5.36%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-15 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.33%EV -13.88%E -5.28%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.24%EV -17.93%E -8.54%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.43%EV -21.11%E -7.54%K -11.73%G +0.000%21.4%2026-05-15 18:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.55%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.7%2026-05-15 18:40
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-05-15 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-05-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-05-15 18:25
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.32%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-05-15 18:25
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-05-15 18:20