Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.12
assuming max odds 3.80
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leuven (Local): 45.84%; RAAL La Louvière (Visit): 26.27%; Draw: 27.90%. For RAAL La Louvière (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -0.189%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.24%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.24%EV -0.189%E -0.050%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.51%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-15 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.24%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.24%EV -0.189%E -0.050%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.51%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-15 12:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 22:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 22:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 22:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -1.50%E -0.401%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 12:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -5.58%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -0.189%E -0.050%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.09%EV -4.59%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -5.58%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.84%EV -3.08%E -0.834%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.88%EV -4.59%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -5.58%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -5.58%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 13:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -5.58%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 12:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -5.58%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 13:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.36%E -0.674%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-16 04:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 14:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.01%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 12:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-14 14:06 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 14:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -6.95%E -3.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 04:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.41%E -3.67%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 13:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.41%E -3.67%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.82%EV -7.41%E -3.67%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -14.91%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-15 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.29%EV -7.87%E -3.91%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.86%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-14 11:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 03:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 16:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-17 07:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -14.91%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-15 12:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -14.91%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-15 12:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -14.91%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-15 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.64%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-17 07:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 27.94%EV -7.66%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-17 09:48 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.06%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.88%EV -12.80%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.06%EV -11.29%E -3.55%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-17 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.93%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -16.31%E -5.44%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-15 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.93%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -16.31%E -5.44%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-15 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.05%EV -9.70%E -4.92%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -16.31%E -5.44%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-15 12:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.62%E -5.45%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 02:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.62%E -5.45%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.62%E -5.45%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-13 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.62%E -5.45%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.62%E -5.45%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-16 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.77%EV -11.08%E -5.71%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.07%EV -11.53%E -5.98%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-18 10:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.0% | 2026-09-17 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.18% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95% | 3.1% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.18% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95% | 3.1% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.18% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95% | 3.1% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43% | 3.5% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |