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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Leuven v RAAL La Louvière

Início: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Leuven 2–0 RAAL La Louvière

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leuven (Local)

Previsão 45.84%2.18odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -1.33%
Kelly -2.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.72%45.75%45.97%46.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.932.032.022.1251.81%49.38%49.38%47.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

RAAL La Louvière (Visitante)

Previsão 26.27%3.81odd justa
EV -0.189%
Vantagem -0.050%
Kelly -0.068%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.16%26.30%26.19%27.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.533.503.8030.77%28.30%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.90%3.58odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -0.674%
Kelly -0.944%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.97%27.95%27.84%29.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.263.303.5033.33%30.67%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Leuven (Local): 45.84%; RAAL La Louvière (Visitante): 26.27%; Empate: 27.90%. Para RAAL La Louvière (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.81. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.80, com valor esperado de -0.189%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.24%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.24%EV -0.189%E -0.050%K -0.068%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.51%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.24%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.24%EV -0.189%E -0.050%K -0.068%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.51%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 22:15
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 22:14
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 22:15
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -1.50%E -0.401%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 12:55
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -5.58%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -0.189%E -0.050%K -0.068%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.09%EV -4.59%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 14:10
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -5.58%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.84%EV -3.08%E -0.834%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.88%EV -4.59%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -5.58%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -5.58%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 13:00
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -5.58%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 12:55
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -5.58%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 13:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.36%E -0.674%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-16 04:00
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:18
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.01%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:04
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 12:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 14:06
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:25
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 14:04
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 14:05
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -6.95%E -3.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 04:00
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.41%E -3.67%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 13:44
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.41%E -3.67%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 13:45
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.82%EV -7.41%E -3.67%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -14.91%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-15 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.29%EV -7.87%E -3.91%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.86%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 13:45
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 11:40
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 03:59
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 16:33
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 16:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-17 07:35
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:15
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -14.91%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-15 12:55
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -14.91%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-15 12:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -14.91%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-15 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.64%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-17 07:35
Suprabets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 27.94%EV -7.66%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-17 09:48
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.06%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.88%EV -12.80%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.06%EV -11.29%E -3.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-17 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.93%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -16.31%E -5.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-15 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.93%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -16.31%E -5.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-15 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.05%EV -9.70%E -4.92%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -16.31%E -5.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-15 12:55
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.62%E -5.45%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 02:35
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.62%E -5.45%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.62%E -5.45%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.62%E -5.45%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 14:04
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.62%E -5.45%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-16 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.77%EV -11.08%E -5.71%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 17:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.07%EV -11.53%E -5.98%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 10:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-09-18 14:35
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.0%2026-09-17 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%3.1%2026-09-18 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%3.1%2026-09-18 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%3.1%2026-09-18 15:00
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%3.5%2026-09-18 15:30