La scuola delle quote

Leuven v Genk

Inizio: 2026-05-23 18:45 UTC

Finale: Leuven 0–2 Genk

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Leuven (Casa)

Previsione 22.70%4.40quota equa
EV +0.120%
Vantaggio +0.027%
Kelly +0.035%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.00%22.74%22.76%23.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.054.104.4127.78%24.72%24.39%22.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Genk (Trasferta)

Previsione 54.33%1.84quota equa
EV -2.21%
Vantaggio -1.23%
Kelly -2.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.32%54.23%54.29%55.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.711.711.8062.11%58.52%58.48%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.97%4.35quota equa
EV -1.22%
Vantaggio -0.284%
Kelly -0.370%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.30%23.03%22.95%25.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.964.004.3030.77%25.26%25.00%23.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet4.41I 22.68%NM 22.00%EV +0.120%E +0.027%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -1.22%E -0.284%K -0.370%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:39
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%EV -2.38%E -0.553%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.83%EV -2.21%E -1.23%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%EV -2.38%E -0.553%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.83%EV -2.21%E -1.23%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:40
Pinnacle4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.06%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.39%EV -2.83%E -0.669%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:40
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:39
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:40
BetOnline.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:39
LowVig.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:39
BetUS4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:39
BetAnything4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:38
Marathon Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.26%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -4.67%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:40
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:39
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.47%E -3.15%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:37
Betsson4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:39
NordicBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Betr (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 18:40
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:39
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:36
Suprabets4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:37
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:39
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 18:40
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 18:40
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.71%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 18:39
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 18:39
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 18:39
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 18:39
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 18:40
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -5.47%E -3.15%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -16.15%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 18:29
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.33%EV -9.82%E -5.92%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.71%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 18:40
Betclic (FR)3.98I 25.13%NM 22.82%EV -9.64%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.07%EV -8.73%E -5.20%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.11%EV -9.72%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 18:40
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.86%E -3.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 18:40
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.86%E -3.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 18:39
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.86%E -3.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -15.00%E -4.06%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 18:40
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.71%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 18:39
NetBet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -11.45%E -7.02%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 18:39
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.59%E -3.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.87%EV -8.73%E -5.20%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-23 18:39
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.59%E -3.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.87%EV -8.73%E -5.20%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-23 18:40
PMU (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -12.59%E -3.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.72%EV -8.73%E -5.20%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -16.15%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.73%E -3.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.86%EV -9.82%E -5.92%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -16.15%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 18:39
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.73%E -3.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.86%EV -9.82%E -5.92%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -16.15%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 18:40
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.73%E -3.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.13%EV -12.54%E -7.79%K -20.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -12.71%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-23 18:39
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.86%E -3.96%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.10%EV -18.27%E -5.07%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 51.32%EV -11.99%E -7.40%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.58%EV -25.34%E -7.80%K -11.26%G +0.000%20.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 23.43%1.94I 51.55%NM 53.14%4.40I 22.73%NM 23.43%-3.0%2026-05-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%0.5%2026-05-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%0.5%2026-05-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-05-23 18:40
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.8%2026-05-23 18:40